0x21ad31a46bfaa51650766eff6dc69c866959e32d965ffb116020e37694b6317d
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” trades at 19% YES on Polymarket with $10.57M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 18.7% · CLOB volume $10.57M · whales 24h net $46.1k (56 wallets) · 7d net $86.2k · 31/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
18.7%
Yes
Implied No
81.3%
No
Volume
$10.57M
CLOB
Traders
15,605
138,229 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
19.8% → 18.6% (-1.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$46.1k
Buy
$60.2k
Sell
$14.1k
Whales
56
Last 7 days
Net flow
$86.2k
Buy
$141.9k
Sell
$55.7k
Whales
113
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x31a6…1528 | $157.9k | $91.6k | $66.3k | $-25.3k |
| 0xe6ca…b27a | $64.9k | $10.1k | $54.8k | $44.6k |
| 0x2663…ed1f | $58.9k | $58.9k | $0 | $-58.9k |
| 0x8372…5223 | $58.3k | $41.8k | $16.5k | $-25.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 10,596 | $3.96M | $-3.94M | 14 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 6,726 | $3.07M | $-3.06M | 37 |
| 0x6452…30a1 | 570 | $1.44M | $-513.5k | 1 |
| 0x7d56…4950 | 66 | $721.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.59M
50.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.57M
18.7%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.77M
3.5%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.51M
2.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.54M
1.9%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.36M
1.7%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.65M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.56M
0.9%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.77M
0.5%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.10M
0.5%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.35M
0.5%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.72M
0.4%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.26M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.94M
0.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.76M
0.3%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $44.42M
0.3%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.95M
0.3%
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $22.92M
0.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.53M
0.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.83M
0.3%
| 0x95da…b238 | $53.4k | $47.8k | $5.6k | $-42.2k |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2 | $39.7k | $26.6k | $13.2k | $-13.4k |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0 | $25.5k | $19.9k | $5.6k | $-14.3k |
| 0x30e4…5102 | $21.4k | $20.1k | $1.4k | $-18.7k |
| 0xffed…4706 | $18.2k | $15.3k | $2.9k | $-12.3k |
| 0x7921…cab1 | $15.8k | $15.7k | $31 | $-15.7k |
| 0xe0a2…a349 | $13.9k | $10.8k | $3.2k | $-7.6k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $13.8k | $10.1k | $3.7k | $-6.5k |
| $-714.7k |
| 3 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 1,489 | $713.4k | $-586.8k | 22 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 1,591 | $563.6k | $-559.1k | 14 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 2,672 | $527.5k | $-527.5k | 17 |
| 0xa771…162d | 1,045 | $373.8k | $-373.8k | 5 |
| 0x17e5…3d19 | 38 | $370.8k | $-369.7k | 7 |
| 0x835b…118f | 355 | $364.7k | $5.4k | 2 |
