0xfbb80ea5f8fc02ee7df8bd4f58790e1d04b874078a49a7b7028a74a2075100c9
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $30.42M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $30.42M · whales 24h net $27.7k (18 wallets) · 7d net $161.2k · 31/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.1%
Yes
Implied No
100.0%
No
Volume
$30.42M
CLOB
Traders
11,693
104,455 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$27.7k
Buy
$40.7k
Sell
$13.0k
Whales
18
Last 7 days
Net flow
$161.2k
Buy
$177.2k
Sell
$16.0k
Whales
82
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | $1.35M | $1.35M | $4.2k | $-1.35M |
| 0x2663…ed1f | $138.1k | $137.2k | $960 | $-136.2k |
| 0x0c0e…434e | $116.2k | $115.4k | $808 | $-114.6k |
| 0xd694…4dfe | $100.1k | $100.0k | $100 | $-99.9k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 10,596 | $3.96M | $-3.94M | 14 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 6,726 | $3.07M | $-3.06M | 37 |
| 0x6452…30a1 | 570 | $1.44M | $-513.5k | 1 |
| 0x7d56…4950 | 66 | $721.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.59M
50.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.57M
18.9%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.77M
3.5%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.51M
2.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.54M
1.9%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.36M
1.7%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.65M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.56M
0.9%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.77M
0.5%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.10M
0.5%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.35M
0.5%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.72M
0.4%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.26M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.94M
0.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.76M
0.3%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $44.42M
0.3%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.95M
0.3%
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $22.92M
0.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.53M
0.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.83M
0.3%
| 0xaba6…0cd9 | $39.9k | $26.6k | $13.3k | $-13.3k |
| 0xd600…b66e | $20.7k | $20.6k | $21 | $-20.6k |
| 0xa61e…0abd | $16.0k | $16.0k | $0 | $-16.0k |
| 0xe821…b27e | $11.1k | $11.1k | $11 | $-11.1k |
| 0x1df3…21ca | $11.0k | $7.3k | $3.7k | $-3.6k |
| 0xc21e…0215 | $6.8k | $5.5k | $1.3k | $-4.2k |
| 0x3f2d…2adc | $5.5k | $5.5k | $38 | $-5.4k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $5.5k | $5.5k | $38 | $-5.4k |
| $-714.7k |
| 3 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 1,489 | $713.4k | $-586.8k | 22 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 1,591 | $563.6k | $-559.1k | 14 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 2,672 | $527.5k | $-527.5k | 17 |
| 0xa771…162d | 1,045 | $373.8k | $-373.8k | 5 |
| 0x17e5…3d19 | 38 | $370.8k | $-369.7k | 7 |
| 0x835b…118f | 355 | $364.7k | $5.4k | 2 |
