0x4273517fc8141d57ad1528ede46efdceebdb6a4da746d5de5bad216564209a1e
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $13.77M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 3.5% · CLOB volume $13.77M · whales 24h net $142 (16 wallets) · 7d net $9.4k · 31/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
3.5%
Yes
Implied No
96.5%
No
Volume
$13.77M
CLOB
Traders
23,781
134,000 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
3.4% → 3.4% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$142
Buy
$238
Sell
$96
Whales
16
Last 7 days
Net flow
$9.4k
Buy
$26.1k
Sell
$16.7k
Whales
90
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7d56…4950 | $680.3k | $677.2k | $3.1k | $-674.1k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $390.5k | $382.6k | $7.8k | $-374.8k |
| 0x835b…118f | $343.8k | $169.3k | $174.5k | $5.2k |
| 0x000d…758e | $124.6k | $2.4k | $122.2k | $119.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 10,596 | $3.96M | $-3.94M | 14 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 6,729 | $3.07M | $-3.06M | 37 |
| 0x6452…30a1 | 570 | $1.44M | $-513.5k | 1 |
| 0x7d56…4950 | 66 | $721.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.59M
50.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.57M
18.6%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.77M
3.5%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.51M
2.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.54M
1.9%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.36M
1.7%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.65M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.56M
0.9%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.77M
0.5%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.10M
0.5%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.35M
0.5%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.72M
0.4%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.26M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.94M
0.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.76M
0.3%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $44.42M
0.3%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.95M
0.3%
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $22.92M
0.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.53M
0.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.83M
0.3%
| 0xbd98…e83a | $115.6k | $3.2k | $112.3k | $109.1k |
| 0x30e4…5102 | $86.7k | $86.0k | $656 | $-85.4k |
| 0xbefa…300d | $81.8k | $81.8k | $5 | $-81.8k |
| 0x2663…ed1f | $73.7k | $73.7k | $0 | $-73.7k |
| 0x882c…8148 | $56.1k | $25.4k | $30.6k | $5.2k |
| 0xd600…b66e | $46.0k | $42.1k | $3.9k | $-38.2k |
| 0x76c8…0439 | $39.4k | $19.7k | $19.7k | $-13 |
| 0x4d86…1cb2 | $32.8k | $32.8k | $0 | $-32.8k |
| $-714.7k |
| 3 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 1,489 | $713.4k | $-586.8k | 22 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 1,591 | $563.6k | $-559.1k | 14 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 2,673 | $527.5k | $-527.5k | 17 |
| 0xa771…162d | 1,045 | $373.8k | $-373.8k | 5 |
| 0x17e5…3d19 | 38 | $370.8k | $-369.7k | 7 |
| 0x835b…118f | 355 | $364.7k | $5.4k | 2 |
