0x0ac23db1e56971022bc7e822b907a2466c618b34104ea72bc9fa95e41c86a9c6
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $19.36M total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 1.7% · CLOB volume $19.36M · whales 24h net $-42 (16 wallets) · 7d net $11.3k · 31/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.7%
Yes
Implied No
98.3%
No
Volume
$19.36M
CLOB
Traders
7,621
82,768 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.5% → 1.6% (+0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$-42
Buy
$266
Sell
$308
Whales
16
Last 7 days
Net flow
$11.3k
Buy
$29.2k
Sell
$17.9k
Whales
109
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa771…162d | $353.0k | $353.0k | $0 | $-353.0k |
| 0x41ea…7a3d | $260.2k | $3.0k | $257.2k | $254.2k |
| 0x5a0d…fa97 | $101.0k | $1.0k | $100.0k | $99.0k |
| 0x2663…ed1f | $89.3k | $88.5k | $796 | $-87.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 10,596 | $3.96M | $-3.94M | 14 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 6,729 | $3.07M | $-3.06M | 37 |
| 0x6452…30a1 | 570 | $1.44M | $-513.5k | 1 |
| 0x7d56…4950 | 66 | $721.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 42 total · Event board
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.59M
50.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $10.57M
18.6%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.77M
3.5%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $15.51M
2.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.54M
1.9%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.36M
1.7%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.65M
1.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.56M
0.9%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $13.77M
0.5%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.10M
0.5%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $9.35M
0.5%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $8.72M
0.4%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $20.26M
0.4%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $17.94M
0.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $6.76M
0.3%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $44.42M
0.3%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $28.95M
0.3%
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $22.92M
0.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $19.53M
0.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open · $16.83M
0.3%
| 0xb687…aee5 | $39.2k | $39.2k | $0 | $-39.2k |
| 0x5c7a…1a97 | $26.7k | $17.7k | $9.0k | $-8.7k |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0 | $23.0k | $9.6k | $13.4k | $3.8k |
| 0xc624…ee24 | $20.2k | $200 | $20.0k | $19.8k |
| 0xdb97…eee8 | $20.2k | $20.0k | $180 | $-19.8k |
| 0x0c0e…434e | $20.0k | $20.0k | $0 | $-20.0k |
| 0xcbdf…6a49 | $19.0k | $188 | $18.8k | $18.7k |
| 0xbc54…680f | $17.1k | $17.1k | $0 | $-17.1k |
| $-714.7k |
| 3 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 1,489 | $713.4k | $-586.8k | 22 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 1,591 | $563.6k | $-559.1k | 14 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 2,673 | $527.5k | $-527.5k | 17 |
| 0xa771…162d | 1,045 | $373.8k | $-373.8k | 5 |
| 0x17e5…3d19 | 38 | $370.8k | $-369.7k | 7 |
| 0x835b…118f | 355 | $364.7k | $5.4k | 2 |
