Will José Carlos Aleluia win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?

0x66983c2f9b6bb2bd0655c174e49369d7b088e23c098b2cb9186281778d5d2ed8

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $8.1k · whales 24h net $125 (3 wallets) · 7d net $811 · 4/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$8.1k

CLOB

Traders

436 trades

Yes 0.1%No 99.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$125

Buy

$125

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$811

Buy

$812

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($125)
•7d whale net still positive ($811)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($8.1k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 03:39:45

99.9¢$30

—BUY2026-08-04 03:39:45

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-04 03:39:45

99.9¢$10

—BUY2026-08-04 03:39:45

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-04 03:39:45

99.9¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x0380…073d	$847	$846	$1	$-845
0x0873…09e8	$538	$538	$0	$-538
0x22e0…3adb	$501	$1	$500	$499
0xb0c8…fe7f	$483	$482	$0	$-482

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x3dca…3c13	120	$8.2k	$-227	2
0x0380…073d	213	$4.7k	$-3.7k	7
0x4e39…8cbf	282	$3.6k	$-3.6k	5
0xc602…7fc1	84	$3.5k

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