@Hourglass

#3,25738

0x1d8c256b15d3cd1f5db221e70c77f552eb8d757a

~297d· 4604 markets · 530187 tradesVol: $22,083,2172026-08-02 05:18:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (3803/4346)20/20
0.85x (win $19,806 / loss $23,396)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5460/15
Sortino -1.8720/10
$-0.0101 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 12 (4346 markets)10/10
166/280 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 744% of peak ($4,380 / $589)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+55,312
Diamond Hands
0% sells
Whale
$357,165 invested
Win Streak
62 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#2,720$2,410Vol: $6,022,741
🏛️ POLITICS#1,353$35,847Vol: $5,023,374
SPORTS#1,878,066$-14,861Vol: $4,602,630
📈 ECONOMICS#512$12,941Vol: $2,584,698
💰 FINANCE#233$19,552Vol: $1,958,569
CRYPTO#1,609,361$-867Vol: $961,521
💻 TECH#248,837$-105Vol: $342,104
🌤️ WEATHER#3,104$386Vol: $174,186

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$55,312
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,083,217
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4604
total markets
Trades
10216B / 547S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~297d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $0
Week
$19,715
Vol: $0
Month
$2,903
Vol: $48,566
All Time
$55,312
Vol: $22,083,217

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
16375W / 2051L events
Realized PnL
$55,312
Win Rate
89%
16375W / 2051L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-45

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,336 (0.02415019880039977% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$643
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$430
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$262
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$255
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$246
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$234
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$228
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$218
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$218
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$196

Top Losers

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$-915
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-875
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?$-819
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$-762
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-631
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?$-481
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 31?$-418
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$-376
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-366
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$-333

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.081
Sortino
-0.070
HHI
11
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
3.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1039.6
Very active
Markets / Day
9.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.7m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 302s — normal for humanCV 1.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1040 trades/day — automation9.0 markets/day — normal0% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.35
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.9%
Mid (20-55c)4.7%
High (>55c)92.4%

Sessions

#12
2/8/2026, 9:12:37 PM59 trades$3,38770 min
1/31/2026, 2:27:48 PM29 trades$1,50452 min
2/9/2026, 9:18:25 PM16 trades$1,46119 min
2/2/2026, 5:12:04 PM20 trades$1,39228 min
1/10/2026, 6:56:52 PM25 trades$1,33831 min
2/10/2026, 2:02:33 PM21 trades$1,26127 min
1/30/2026, 2:33:44 AM9 trades$1,17712 min
1/30/2026, 1:25:08 AM6 trades$1,1414 min
2/8/2026, 11:08:31 PM24 trades$1,07532 min
2/14/2026, 8:57:01 PM21 trades$1,07424 min
2/2/2026, 3:47:08 AM5 trades$1,0526 min
1/30/2026, 10:30:48 AM6 trades$1,02915 min
2/8/2026, 10:48:31 PM28 trades$97815 min
1/30/2026, 12:37:50 AM14 trades$93517 min
2/18/2026, 10:46:38 PM11 trades$90313 min
2/19/2026, 11:57:46 PM5 trades$8984 min
1/29/2026, 9:33:54 PM20 trades$89527 min
2/10/2026, 10:39:43 PM11 trades$89321 min
2/10/2026, 3:33:03 PM28 trades$86550 min
2/11/2026, 4:45:29 PM7 trades$8399 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-10
06-13
08-04
10-26
12-24
02-15
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 131 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.9 / M4.7 / H92.4