0x6b978bfe3f8b58edd400556fa8d1f582d4b4f60d12286245af249fa8a6446bca
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $959.2k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.4% · CLOB volume $959.2k · whales 24h net $3.9k (11 wallets) · 7d net $24.6k · 8/8 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.4%
Yes
Implied No
99.7%
No
Volume
$959.2k
CLOB
Traders
890
20,321 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.3% → 0.3% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$3.9k
Buy
$4.2k
Sell
$289
Whales
11
Last 7 days
Net flow
$24.6k
Buy
$27.5k
Sell
$2.9k
Whales
69
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe917…9612 | $91.0k | $46.2k | $44.8k | $-1.4k |
| 0xa19c…de6b | $65.9k | $515 | $65.4k | $64.9k |
| 0xf0ca…66ed | $51.0k | $51.0k | $0 | $-51.0k |
| 0x3f2d…2adc | $49.3k | $49.3k | $18 | $-49.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf0ca…66ed | 2,593 | $745.9k | $-529.2k | 8 |
| 0x3f2d…2adc | 602 | $166.7k | $-165.4k | 6 |
| 0xe917…9612 | 551 | $153.8k | $-11.5k | 4 |
| 0x42f0…fc65 | 355 | $102.5k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
8 open · 8 total · Event board
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $1.17M
71.5%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $913.0k
16.0%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $699.9k
5.5%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $651.2k
0.6%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $959.2k
0.4%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $961.3k
0.1%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $893.2k
0.1%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $851.7k
0.1%
| 0x3764…c5eb | $37.5k | $298 | $37.2k | $36.9k |
| 0x6db9…4ab5 | $20.9k | $125 | $20.7k | $20.6k |
| 0xd600…b66e | $19.2k | $19.2k | $0 | $-19.2k |
| 0x9181…64ac | $15.4k | $9.0k | $6.4k | $-2.6k |
| 0x250c…2774 | $14.3k | $14.3k | $0 | $-14.3k |
| 0xcc81…da07 | $13.8k | $168 | $13.6k | $13.5k |
| 0x7666…57ec | $11.9k | $11.9k | $0 | $-11.9k |
| 0xbefa…300d | $11.1k | $11.1k | $0 | $-11.1k |
| $90.5k |
| 4 |
| 0xd1ee…a8ae | 192 | $99.1k | $81.5k | 5 |
| 0xff4e…5502 | 299 | $80.2k | $-80.0k | 3 |
| 0xa19c…de6b | 57 | $79.0k | $73.2k | 3 |
| 0x9f9e…4c57 | 49 | $76.5k | $-39 | 3 |
| 0x8f41…260e | 1,526 | $73.3k | $-73.3k | 4 |
| 0x0380…073d | 442 | $53.1k | $-46.0k | 8 |