Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0x7190eccbd0677d5d0ae8cdf598b37e945a346915c666dda11468dc9970657a56

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.3% · CLOB volume $35.88M · whales 24h net $247.9k (6 wallets) · 7d net $253.1k · 42/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.3%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$35.88M

CLOB

Traders

7,048

84,654 trades

Yes 0.3%No 99.8%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$247.9k

Buy

$248.4k

Sell

$542

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$253.1k

Buy

$254.1k

Sell

$965

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($247.9k)
•7d whale net still positive ($253.1k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-30 23:48:03

100.3¢$12

NOBUY2026-07-30 23:48:03

33333.3¢$12

NOBUY2026-07-30 23:40:23

100.3¢$17

NOBUY2026-07-30 23:40:23

33333.3¢$17

NOBUY2026-07-30 23:08:09

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb687…aee5	9,186	$2.76M	$-2.66M	37
0x2663…ed1f	9,434	$2.00M	$-1.97M	33
0xa771…162d	50,568	$1.60M	$-1.60M	27
0xa3a4…5106	4,146	$1.17M

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