Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?

0x784aad9ba3f0aa5f8c2e6c4dc9314d8899cd147d6b289e6eb289e66a5b569082

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 1.7% · CLOB volume $10.5k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $172 · 5/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

1.7%

Yes

Implied No

98.3%

Volume

$10.5k

CLOB

Traders

418 trades

Yes 1.7%No 98.3%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$172

Buy

$215

Sell

$43

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($172)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 1.7% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($10.5k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-01 13:03:27

98.6¢$27

—BUY2026-08-01 13:03:27

1.4¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-31 04:59:08

6666.7¢$38

—BUY2026-07-31 04:59:08

1.5¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-31 04:59:05

98.5¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x2413…f6c6	$1.9k	$925	$967	$43
0xa27a…b546	$1.2k	$688	$506	$-183
0xc3fc…484a	$682	$429	$252	$-177
0x7c9e…db3d	$577	$252	$326	$74

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x2413…f6c6	99	$6.4k	$349	3
0xc3fc…484a	80	$2.2k	$-748	4
0xff7c…b233	35	$2.0k	$-237	5
0xc66c…36ac	127	$1.7k

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