Will William Ruger be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?

0x7ad6c7707a690a59154222a726ca09637a5bcce93169217f12d9f26299a24d66

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 5.3% · CLOB volume $230 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 7/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

5.3%

Yes

Implied No

94.7%

Volume

$230

CLOB

Traders

9 trades

Yes 5.3%No 94.7%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 5.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($230) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

9 shown

—BUY2026-07-21 16:38:40

1.4¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-21 16:38:40

5882.4¢$51

NOBUY2026-07-21 16:38:40

16666.7¢$8

NOBUY2026-07-21 16:38:40

16666.7¢$8

NOBUY2026-07-21 16:38:40

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x22e0…3adb	$81	$2	$79	$77
0x613b…da44	$51	$51	$0	$-51
0xd23f…94a1	$30	$29	$0	$-29
0x3188…9e6c	$29	$29	$0	$-29

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x2128…f203	73	$6.4k	$-2.4k	2
0x2282…73e8	24	$1.9k	$-177	1
0x1f9e…4f1a	34	$1.6k	$-701	2
0xbd14…76b4	14	$1.3k

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