0x2282A5Df777

@0x2282…f777

#57,69821

0x2282a5df686f9dd2326bba576226850d439273e8

~78d· 77 markets · 1207 tradesVol: $169,0252026-08-04 15:05:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (21/45)8.3/20
0.69x (win $19,228 / loss $27,961)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7510/15
Sortino -3.2970/10
$-0.1064 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 669 (45 markets)9.2/10
15/33 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 288% of peak ($15,872 / $5,504)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,773
DCA Master
Avg 16.8 entries/market
Whale
$82,086 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#6,822$4,486Vol: $111,495
📈 ECONOMICS#3,442$844Vol: $25,146
💰 FINANCE#657,009$-2,982Vol: $24,258
💻 TECH#256,419$-598Vol: $7,755
CRYPTO#918,405$-2Vol: $370

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,748
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$169,025
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
77
total markets
Trades
683B / 524S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~78d

Periods

#2
Today
$-70
Vol: $667
Week
$35
Vol: $1,824
Month
$99
Vol: $3,624
All Time
$1,748
Vol: $169,025

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
21W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$1,773
Win Rate
47%
21W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$916
Avg Loss
$-1,165

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,840 (4.985027407457536% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$4,029
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$2,717
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$2,093
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2,022
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$1,378
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$1,005
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$940
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$804
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?$701
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$557

Top Losers

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-5,996
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-4,031
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-2,566
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026$-2,410
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-1,759
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-1,532
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-1,175
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026$-1,137
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1,132
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$-1,011

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.142
Sortino
-0.170
HHI
554
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.129
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.8%
Top-5 markets
38.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
31.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1899s — normal for humanCV 2.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.78
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2%
Mid (20-55c)34.1%
High (>55c)63.8%

Sessions

#12
5/20/2026, 7:14:18 PM14 trades$3,8950 min
6/1/2026, 1:30:02 PM1 trades$2,7620 min
6/28/2026, 3:05:40 PM1 trades$2,5670 min
6/23/2026, 3:32:01 PM2 trades$2,0583 min
5/30/2026, 3:46:47 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/25/2026, 1:48:49 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/23/2026, 8:03:28 PM1 trades$1,9860 min
6/25/2026, 10:10:19 PM1 trades$1,9400 min
4/12/2026, 7:46:37 PM2 trades$1,6520 min
6/19/2026, 3:41:02 AM2 trades$1,5980 min
5/16/2026, 9:48:28 PM8 trades$1,4940 min
6/2/2026, 1:56:44 PM2 trades$1,4710 min
7/20/2026, 7:04:58 AM7 trades$1,3553 min
5/18/2026, 7:51:04 AM2 trades$1,3510 min
5/18/2026, 1:40:17 PM2 trades$1,3510 min
6/28/2026, 7:54:49 AM8 trades$1,3501 min
6/4/2026, 12:31:34 PM3 trades$1,2920 min
6/1/2026, 1:36:28 PM8 trades$1,1726 min
4/12/2026, 4:56:37 PM2 trades$1,1530 min
6/19/2026, 6:57:10 AM1 trades$1,1500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
05-21
06-07
06-14
06-23
07-02
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2 / M34.1 / H63.8