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Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?Active 149 days left

Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?

0x9bedf93343909c762a295fe3968147d3241de7255ddb9be13cfb1c89900739f1

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 99.6% · CLOB volume $4.9k · whales 24h net $125 (6 wallets) · 7d net $3.7k · 28/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

99.6%

Yes

Implied No

0.4%

Volume

$4.9k

CLOB

Traders

264 trades

Yes 99.6%No 0.4%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

99.5% → 99.9% (+0.4pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$125

Buy

$135

Sell

$10

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$3.7k

Buy

$5.0k

Sell

$1.3k

Whales

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 99.6%
•Whales net buyers 24h ($125)
•7d whale net still positive ($3.7k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($4.9k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 18:55:00

99.9¢$119

—BUY2026-08-04 18:55:00

0.1¢$0

—BUY2026-08-04 18:55:00

0.1¢$0

—BUY2026-08-04 18:55:00

0.1¢$0

—BUY2026-08-04 18:55:00

0.1¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x233b…1f2c	$1.7k	$1.5k	$176	$-1.4k
0x0130…274c	$1.7k	$851	$841	$-10
0x7c3d…5c6b	$1.6k	$805	$781	$-24
0x66c1…fa3f	$1.3k	$1.3k	$0	$-1.3k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x05ed…bf70	95	$8.8k	$-3.2k	2
0x0130…274c	29	$7.5k	$-4.4k	2
0xcee6…8233	109	$4.8k	$-4.8k	2
0x836f…906e	3	$3.5k

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