Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?

0xa6c3848b7861841cc9d93a5c2c1d26b3f44e0298a49889968a627214a2b177ae

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $4.63M · whales 24h net $1 (1 wallets) · 7d net $3.1k · 41/41 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$4.63M

CLOB

Traders

6,565

50,288 trades

Yes 0.1%No 99.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$3.1k

Buy

$6.0k

Sell

$2.9k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($1)
•7d whale net still positive ($3.1k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:58:18

99.9¢$2

—BUY2026-08-02 02:58:18

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:30:00

100.2¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:30:00

50000.0¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:29:30

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xc21e…0215	$82.5k	$82.5k	$0	$-82.5k
0xb687…aee5	$68.0k	$67.9k	$48	$-67.9k
0x7449…c05e	$33.0k	$21.9k	$11.0k	$-10.9k
0xdfdb…d762	$31.1k	$31.1k	$31	$-31.0k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb687…aee5	29,278	$2.02M	$-1.96M	40
0xc21e…0215	40,862	$1.73M	$-1.73M	26
0x2106…4dea	20,679	$1.39M	$-1.37M	41
0xb4f2…7862	4,801	$656.4k

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