Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

0xa8f30541b2425e5c9b684959156698ddaaefa214a86053b9273a9fb533fbe943

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $8.6k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 8/8 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$8.6k

CLOB

Traders

462 trades

Yes 0.1%No 99.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($8.6k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

70 shown

NOBUY2026-07-23 15:44:25

100000.0¢$14

—BUY2026-07-23 15:44:25

0.1¢$0

—BUY2026-07-21 05:59:22

0.2¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-21 05:59:22

50000.0¢$500

NOBUY2026-07-17 06:22:22

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x7243…83f0	$703	$703	$0	$-703
0x22e0…3adb	$501	$1	$500	$499
0x3f91…2819	$501	$1	$500	$499
0x5d77…6bd8	$300	$300	$0	$-300

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x5e7f…e4ac	43	$5.8k	$480	1
0x2211…f15b	41	$4.3k	$-2.7k	1
0x0873…09e8	133	$3.8k	$-3.8k	5
0x3f91…2819	19	$2.8k

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