Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

0xb40879e5244e859aeed3e756b0937d5752b316f06e87c65eaed8712fbfaa6ee0

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 1.3% · CLOB volume $28.1k · whales 24h net $1 (4 wallets) · 7d net $245 · 38/40 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

1.3%

Yes

Implied No

98.7%

Volume

$28.1k

CLOB

Traders

331 trades

Yes 1.3%No 98.7%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

$76

Sell

$75

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$245

Buy

$391

Sell

$147

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($1)
•7d whale net still positive ($245)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 1.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($28.1k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

—BUY2026-08-01 14:29:27

1.3¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-01 14:29:27

98.6¢$20

NOBUY2026-08-01 14:29:27

7692.3¢$20

NOBUY2026-08-01 14:29:27

7692.3¢$36

—BUY2026-07-29 18:53:24

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x6ca4…348f	$15.7k	$7.9k	$7.8k	$-61
0x2106…4dea	$5.6k	$5.6k	$0	$-5.6k
0x8027…2ee8	$5.5k	$2.7k	$2.7k	$1
0x707b…69f2	$2.5k	$49	$2.5k	$2.5k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xfcdb…102a	822	$2.79M	$-5.0k	4
0x2106…4dea	423	$166.3k	$-166.3k	40
0xee11…53c9	831	$146.2k	$134.2k	27
0x58b3…653c	340	$128.8k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

Explore traders Whale feed API