Will Elise Mertens win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

0x8ed443ca250b535dee8b3b466414ac524bb62bf29cd9385fa378698c0f4e68d1

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $41.7k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $-589 · 38/40 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.5%

Yes

Implied No

99.5%

Volume

$41.7k

CLOB

Traders

318 trades

Yes 0.5%No 99.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$-589

Buy

$7.1k

Sell

$7.7k

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.5% — No favored
•7d whale net negative ($-589)
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($41.7k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

—BUY2026-07-29 18:53:54

0.9¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-29 18:53:54

11111.1¢$111

—BUY2026-07-29 02:29:39

0.7¢$15

NOBUY2026-07-29 02:29:39

11111.2¢$26

NOBUY2026-07-29 02:29:39

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xee11…53c9	$18.1k	$135	$17.9k	$17.8k
0x2106…4dea	$5.6k	$5.6k	$0	$-5.6k
0x58b3…653c	$3.5k	$3.5k	$0	$-3.5k
0x2b3d…8db7	$2.8k	$2.7k	$141	$-2.5k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xfcdb…102a	822	$2.79M	$-5.0k	4
0x2106…4dea	423	$166.3k	$-166.3k	40
0xee11…53c9	831	$146.2k	$134.2k	27
0x58b3…653c	339	$128.7k

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