@timetowander
#91970x58b3380f71bd6c706dd398a5e60bde55fa3a653c
~200d· 909 markets · 74518 tradesVol: $97,639,4582026-09-21 04:08:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
33% (287/859)1.7/20
0.96x (win $11,150,137 / loss $11,671,905)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0810/15
Sortino -1.2960/10
$-0.0310 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2455 (859 markets)0.2/10
68/154 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 310% of peak ($770,723 / $248,955)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+243,282
Whale
$16,846,810 invested
High Roller
$32,649/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders
Categories
7📈 ECONOMICS#97$82,706Vol: $67,236,140
⚽ SPORTS#8,339$6,075Vol: $18,991,477
🏛️ POLITICS#315$169,294Vol: $9,420,395
₿ CRYPTO#1,723,949$-11,464Vol: $1,496,952
🎭 CULTURE#829,213$-4,557Vol: $348,191
💰 FINANCE#2,449$1,989Vol: $58,476
💻 TECH#71,864$0Vol: $12
Overview
#1Net PnL
$243,277
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$97,639,458
Total Redeem
$2,816
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
909
total markets
Trades
53847B / 20671S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~200d
Periods
#2Today
$-20
Vol: $6,688
Week
$-20
Vol: $476,856
Month
$174,388
Vol: $41,112,398
All Time
$243,277
Vol: $97,639,458
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
33%
286W / 573L events
Realized PnL
$243,282
Win Rate
33%
286W / 573L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$38,851
Avg Loss
$-21,695
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,160,212 (41.76311841163049% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$9,258,066
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$529,754
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$372,392
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$138,941
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?$131,259
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$100,771
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$32,097
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$28,097
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$25,609
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$19,099
Top Losers
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$-9,644,459
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$-490,785
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-118,738
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?$-111,459
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$-105,203
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$-96,606
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$-92,784
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?$-78,488
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-68,594
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$-21,962
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.056
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
11659
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
97.4%
Top-5 markets
161.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
144.4
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
39s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.1m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
84 min
Avg Trades / Session
271.3
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 39s — normal for humanCV 5.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock144 trades/day — automation1.8 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
146.29
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.7%
Mid (20-55c)16.9%
High (>55c)76.3%
Sessions
#129/11/2026, 12:30:07 PM1194 trades$893,753193 min
8/28/2026, 1:57:13 PM717 trades$675,318141 min
9/15/2026, 7:25:07 PM200 trades$405,82557 min
9/14/2026, 12:55:40 PM433 trades$402,22797 min
9/14/2026, 6:38:15 PM72 trades$398,56816 min
9/16/2026, 4:44:48 AM443 trades$371,329177 min
9/11/2026, 6:10:30 PM211 trades$339,10968 min
8/31/2026, 5:07:07 PM223 trades$318,46785 min
9/11/2026, 11:19:42 PM184 trades$309,41641 min
9/15/2026, 1:34:42 PM435 trades$305,31882 min
4/10/2026, 10:49:31 AM1910 trades$292,040574 min
9/15/2026, 8:30:12 PM352 trades$255,404189 min
9/11/2026, 7:24:39 PM278 trades$254,043113 min
9/16/2026, 1:58:09 PM216 trades$252,87046 min
9/12/2026, 2:07:07 PM186 trades$248,95480 min
9/15/2026, 3:32:19 PM188 trades$244,95559 min
9/16/2026, 7:48:09 AM371 trades$240,765147 min
8/31/2026, 12:17:48 PM353 trades$229,453101 min
4/29/2026, 12:50:30 PM9 trades$210,4945 min
4/29/2026, 2:01:44 PM3 trades$200,0000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
03-20
04-27
06-03
06-28
07-28
09-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 146.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.7 / M16.9 / H76.3