Will Larry Ellison be 3rd richest person on December 31?

0xb44d403e1adad512cfab065fd2930b077fc38143fa27e0f13ba46bae67cc050c

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 32.1% · CLOB volume $416 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

32.1%

Yes

Implied No

67.9%

Volume

$416

CLOB

Traders

65 trades

Yes 32.1%No 67.9%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 32.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($416) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

10 shown

NOBUY2026-07-09 15:51:10

12500.0¢$13

—BUY2026-07-09 15:51:10

0.8¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-07 15:36:44

33333.3¢$13

—BUY2026-07-07 15:36:44

0.3¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-07 15:05:20

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x52b3…3a58	$38	$38	$0	$-37
0xf2cf…464b	$13	$13	$0	$-13
0x613b…da44	$0	$0	$0	$-0

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x52b3…3a58	21	$72	$-71	3
0x6d9a…79b1	4	$64	$-1	1
0x764b…6bad	2	$64	$-64	2
0x4ffe…9f71	5	$48	$47

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