Multi-outcome · 10 open
3rd richest person on December 31?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31?
open · $371
42.5%
Will Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on December 31?
open · $760
35.4%
Will Larry Ellison be 3rd richest person on December 31?
open · $416
32.1%
Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on December 31?
open · $715
18.4%
Will Larry Page be 3rd richest person on December 31?
open · $6.7k
16.4%
Will Bernard Arnault be 3rd richest person on December 31?
open · $341
14.1%
Will Warren Buffett be 3rd richest person on December 31?
open · $1.0k
8.4%
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on December 31?
open · $327
8.0%
Will Steve Ballmer be 3rd richest person on December 31?
open · $13.4k
7.1%
Will Elon Musk be 3rd richest person on December 31?
open · $314
5.9%