Will Erik Sviatchenko win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?

0xbb724a2a036e2939a10b86cd8916dedd32821e6807177003c940bd66eaab34aa

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $176 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $19 · 50/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.5%

Yes

Implied No

99.5%

Volume

$176

CLOB

Traders

46 trades

Yes 0.5%No 99.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$19

Buy

$19

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($19)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($176) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

6 shown

NOBUY2026-08-03 02:05:05

99.8¢$19

—BUY2026-08-03 02:05:05

0.2¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-16 18:05:28

99.5¢$25

—BUY2026-07-16 18:05:28

0.5¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-15 15:51:25

14285.7¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x4f1d…8de2	$25	$25	$0	$-25
0x942e…be27	$19	$19	$0	$-19
0x83f5…4ae3	$5	$5	$0	$-5
0x613b…da44	$0	$0	$0	$-0

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x3f1f…feae	109	$773	$-770	25
0x4f1d…8de2	90	$770	$-757	34
0x942e…be27	64	$520	$-512	28
0x9422…f273	42	$370

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