Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026?

0xbbfe39ddbef46c69ec2511b03c64b1fb6cdaf766f4a70a1f182ad6004eff68af

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 20.0% · CLOB volume $600 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 28/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

20.0%

Yes

Implied No

80.0%

Volume

$600

CLOB

Traders

69 trades

Yes 20.0%No 80.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 20.0% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($600) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

10 shown

NOBUY2026-07-01 00:37:08

1666.7¢$8

NOBUY2026-07-01 00:37:08

106.4¢$8

NOBUY2026-07-01 00:34:01

1666.7¢$8

NOBUY2026-07-01 00:34:01

106.4¢$8

NOBUY2026-07-01 00:33:22

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xd4b8…7bf1	$66	$60	$6	$-53
0x38a4…4ef2	$50	$25	$25	$0
0x0446…cc69	$18	$10	$8	$-2
0x9474…5091	$5	$5	$0	$-5

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x05ed…bf70	95	$8.8k	$-3.2k	2
0x0130…274c	29	$7.5k	$-4.4k	2
0xcee6…8233	109	$4.8k	$-4.8k	2
0x836f…906e	3	$3.5k

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