@lakatosnapoleon

#90,22383

0x7957c850ca3ae06364dbf88382dc6beb85e8ddbc

~315d· 691 markets · 3691 tradesVol: $115,5162026-08-02 06:35:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (356/556)17/20
1.72x (win $2,408 / loss $1,401)11.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.25215/15
Sortino 5.61110/10
$+0.0258 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 220 (556 markets)10/10
110/160 profitable days (69%)9.7/10
Max DD 28% of peak ($281 / $1,007)8.4/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Profitable
PnL $+820
Consistent
110/160 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 28%
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,669,227$-96Vol: $45,535
₿ CRYPTO#25,973$1,341Vol: $41,841
💰 FINANCE#635,995$-132Vol: $15,565
🏛️ POLITICS#80,688$63Vol: $4,142
🎭 CULTURE#793,111$-190Vol: $3,673
💻 TECH#12,647$22Vol: $1,187
🌤️ WEATHER#180,702$-1Vol: $630
📈 ECONOMICS#46,188$8Vol: $181
📢 MENTIONS#72,900$-0Vol: $82

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$820
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$115,516
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
691
total markets
Trades
2885B / 806S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~315d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $50
Week
$-12
Vol: $50
Month
$31
Vol: $313
All Time
$820
Vol: $115,516

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
356W / 200L events
Realized PnL
$820
Win Rate
64%
356W / 200L
Profit Factor
1.72x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $762 (0.9293408644520623% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$531
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?$118
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$113
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$88
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?$62
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$50
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$48
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$44
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?$43

Top Losers

Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-228
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?$-121
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$-83
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?$-56
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-52
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-51
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?$-47
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Awonder Liang vs Gabriel Sargissian (Advances)$-36
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$-34

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.117
Sortino
0.191
HHI
69
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
14.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 488s — normal for humanCV 2.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.89
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.6%
Mid (20-55c)15.9%
High (>55c)77.5%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 4:44:14 PM18 trades$1,5131 min
4/14/2026, 5:12:49 AM20 trades$1,4566 min
3/4/2026, 6:44:17 PM10 trades$92711 min
4/28/2026, 2:47:24 PM11 trades$79512 min
12/23/2025, 4:27:47 PM1 trades$7910 min
2/20/2026, 7:18:46 PM2 trades$7314 min
12/22/2025, 1:20:09 PM1 trades$7030 min
2/22/2026, 1:12:58 PM11 trades$67418 min
12/22/2025, 4:23:41 PM6 trades$5812 min
12/22/2025, 8:17:15 AM1 trades$5770 min
6/30/2026, 6:48:37 AM4 trades$4880 min
7/19/2026, 10:00:45 PM3 trades$4730 min
6/5/2026, 1:58:16 PM10 trades$45915 min
3/27/2026, 11:06:21 AM13 trades$44810 min
2/28/2026, 7:22:39 AM2 trades$4195 min
3/3/2026, 1:39:03 PM6 trades$4023 min
6/9/2026, 8:10:16 PM20 trades$3853 min
4/14/2026, 7:12:25 AM2 trades$3821 min
7/14/2026, 3:57:52 AM20 trades$3498 min
7/3/2026, 8:22:47 AM5 trades$3460 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-29
10-01
10-19
11-20
01-06
04-07
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 55 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.89/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.6 / M15.9 / H77.5