Aligned FDV above $800M one day after launch?

0xc373f82e9472779046f4aff5c73d4f8b0494673ea02c61c9c96e19d70c1b6e10

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 11.5% · CLOB volume $995 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 8/8 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

11.5%

Yes

Implied No

88.5%

Volume

$995

CLOB

Traders

79 trades

Yes 11.5%No 88.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 11.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($995) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

31 shown

NOBUY2026-07-23 20:39:40

2857.1¢$7

NOBUY2026-07-23 20:39:40

103.6¢$7

NOBUY2026-07-22 10:57:55

106.4¢$11

NOBUY2026-07-22 10:57:55

1666.7¢$11

NOBUY2026-07-22 03:55:10

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x7c9e…db3d	$393	$204	$190	$-14
0xf33e…0ab8	$147	$97	$50	$-47
0x2a20…89d2	$118	$78	$40	$-38
0xcb58…ccd0	$118	$78	$40	$-38

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x4d45…97f4	18	$2.9k	$-557	2
0xf22b…7eab	69	$1.8k	$-62	4
0xab51…2473	5	$1.5k	$-31	1
0x6d72…a399	34	$1.5k

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