@the-260-Challenge
#3,038,816240xcb58959b9a016b4e502a4f593e82d0b80e6accd0
~26d· 1676 markets · 7806 tradesVol: $232,3552026-07-31 16:01:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (121/252)9/20
0.80x (win $1,369 / loss $1,719)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2740/15
Sortino -4.8620/10
$-0.0042 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 80 (252 markets)10/10
12/24 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 453% of peak ($473 / $105)0/10
Badges
4Whale
$82,760 invested
High Roller
$3,183/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,618,961$-1,527Vol: $78,631
💰 FINANCE#653,101$-1,196Vol: $45,834
🌤️ WEATHER#294,149$-460Vol: $26,496
₿ CRYPTO#1,572,518$-381Vol: $22,612
⚽ SPORTS#1,767,331$-307Vol: $18,746
🎭 CULTURE#801,160$-341Vol: $14,290
📈 ECONOMICS#675,827$-474Vol: $13,010
💻 TECH#253,001$-270Vol: $5,695
📢 MENTIONS#168,067$-182Vol: $3,678
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5,261
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$232,355
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1676
total markets
Trades
4670B / 3136S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d
Periods
#2Today
$-149
Vol: $5,382
Week
$-1,415
Vol: $68,697
Month
$-5,261
Vol: $232,355
All Time
$-5,261
Vol: $232,355
PnL Analysis
#3Win Rate (events)
48%
120W / 131L events
Realized PnL
$-5,261
Win Rate
48%
120W / 131L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-14
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $280 (0.0532715449812487% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 in July?$110
Will Virtu Financial (VIRT) beat quarterly earnings?$88
Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?$83
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by July 31?$82
Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?$55
Will Procter & Gamble say "Customer" 5+ times during earnings call?$48
Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?$40
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$38
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?$31
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 24?$31
Top Losers
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$-157
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?$-93
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?$-92
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$-89
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?$-78
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?$-74
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?$-70
Will Penske (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?$-53
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 11?$-52
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by September 30?$-47
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.219
Sortino
-0.315
HHI
1
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.2%
Top-5 markets
1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
300.2
Very active
Markets / Day
64.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.8m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.1
Bot Detection
#670
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 138s — normal for humanCV 0.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock300 trades/day — automation64 markets/day — mass coverage60% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.97
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)16.8%
Mid (20-55c)6.4%
High (>55c)76.7%
Sessions
#127/27/2026, 12:51:36 AM52 trades$1,74229 min
7/27/2026, 4:33:33 PM42 trades$1,20237 min
7/24/2026, 12:10:52 PM75 trades$85618 min
7/26/2026, 11:24:24 PM26 trades$65812 min
7/27/2026, 12:00:12 AM30 trades$53121 min
7/21/2026, 11:40:39 AM36 trades$52917 min
7/24/2026, 8:58:54 PM33 trades$50220 min
7/20/2026, 1:57:31 PM16 trades$49712 min
7/24/2026, 5:07:03 PM46 trades$49117 min
7/31/2026, 2:44:08 AM27 trades$49018 min
7/8/2026, 2:53:41 AM17 trades$48914 min
7/31/2026, 1:52:38 AM33 trades$45718 min
7/20/2026, 7:30:30 AM13 trades$4215 min
7/20/2026, 11:36:25 AM26 trades$42012 min
7/26/2026, 9:29:49 PM18 trades$41411 min
7/12/2026, 12:57:13 AM10 trades$4089 min
7/16/2026, 6:54:46 PM13 trades$39917 min
7/26/2026, 7:02:43 AM17 trades$3989 min
7/27/2026, 10:14:45 PM20 trades$39115 min
7/15/2026, 12:21:34 PM20 trades$3839 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-07
07-11
07-15
07-19
07-23
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
20% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.8 / M6.4 / H76.7