Will Tencent be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?

0xca2e24d75c49f16a1c3488b781d9aecef9e1ff8f87d1dc4d576198ffcbba1d03

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $960 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $-422 · 16/21 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$960

CLOB

Traders

12 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$-422

Buy

$100

Sell

$522

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•7d whale net negative ($-422)
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($960) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

12 shown

—BUY2026-08-03 06:20:30

0.1¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-03 06:20:30

100000.0¢$142

NOBUY2026-08-03 06:20:30

100000.0¢$340

NOBUY2026-08-03 06:20:30

100000.0¢$40

NOBUY2026-07-31 21:20:51

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x63bd…aff2	$522	$1	$522	$521
0xb0c8…fe7f	$340	$340	$0	$-340
0xd23f…94a1	$217	$217	$0	$-217
0x28bf…4a4e	$59	$59	$0	$-59

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb0c8…fe7f	78	$5.7k	$-5.7k	18
0xfd55…f905	99	$3.6k	$-3.4k	16
0xd23f…94a1	247	$3.2k	$-3.0k	20
0x63bd…aff2	33	$2.5k

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