@0x63Bd19EC92d98B4CeBFB150DF81B629A67B4aFf2-1776698908434

#2,883,46610

0x63bd19ec92d98b4cebfb150df81b629a67b4aff2

~90d· 1960 markets · 8811 tradesVol: $260,8532026-08-02 06:30:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (488/1920)0/20
0.70x (win $2,577 / loss $3,704)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1750/15
Sortino -5.0850/10
$-0.0481 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 233 (1920 markets)10/10
24/83 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 1411% of peak ($1,344 / $95)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#292,320$-281Vol: $77,323
🎭 CULTURE#779,447$-99Vol: $70,399
🏛️ POLITICS#1,549,212$-159Vol: $45,608
₿ CRYPTO#1,440,489$-81Vol: $29,758
⚽ SPORTS#1,597,283$-52Vol: $26,729
💰 FINANCE#609,548$-35Vol: $5,523
📈 ECONOMICS#69,206$3Vol: $2,703
💻 TECH#12,500$22Vol: $1,795
📢 MENTIONS#99,667$-2Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-684
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$260,853
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1960
total markets
Trades
4267B / 4544S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~90d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $3,467
Week
$40
Vol: $3,467
Month
$-2
Vol: $6,566
All Time
$-684
Vol: $260,853

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
488W / 1432L events
Realized PnL
$-684
Win Rate
25%
488W / 1432L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $641 (0.9369273261336568% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?$298
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$189
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?$155
Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$129
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15?$112
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$108
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?$88
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?$78
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?$70
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?$68

Top Losers

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$-204
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 7?$-197
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4?$-138
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$-120
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-96
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-93
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-83
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$-74
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$-71
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-65

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.217
Sortino
-0.258
HHI
55
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.048
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
12.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
86.4
Very active
Markets / Day
19.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.9m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.4

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 131s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock86 trades/day — mass trading19 markets/day — mass coverage48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.52
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.5%
Mid (20-55c)7.3%
High (>55c)53.2%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 7:40:53 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/1/2026, 7:57:01 PM6 trades$4,6215 min
6/19/2026, 9:00:38 AM18 trades$3,6989 min
7/16/2026, 4:37:56 AM12 trades$3,0104 min
6/11/2026, 7:29:45 AM28 trades$2,57516 min
7/8/2026, 3:43:44 PM4 trades$2,3503 min
6/1/2026, 4:21:28 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/15/2026, 10:03:33 AM31 trades$1,8579 min
8/2/2026, 5:16:23 AM4 trades$1,5753 min
8/2/2026, 4:29:08 AM11 trades$1,3968 min
6/19/2026, 5:45:02 AM41 trades$1,16019 min
6/16/2026, 8:35:01 AM22 trades$1,1296 min
6/17/2026, 5:14:52 AM2 trades$1,1130 min
6/14/2026, 8:55:48 AM26 trades$1,11013 min
7/27/2026, 8:23:54 PM2 trades$1,1000 min
7/8/2026, 4:29:08 AM12 trades$1,0408 min
6/20/2026, 8:38:01 AM15 trades$1,0338 min
6/17/2026, 4:28:31 AM17 trades$1,03112 min
6/14/2026, 3:29:49 PM7 trades$1,0295 min
8/1/2026, 10:56:51 AM18 trades$1,0124 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
05-08
05-23
06-07
06-20
07-07
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 82 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
34% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L39.5 / M7.3 / H53.2