Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 26 and September 30, 2026?

0xcc9f92ff1d74893a3e883b37b0f8dc080807f84921078fef8f287a16a7ce2cfe

As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 26 and September 30, 2026?” trades at 17% YES on Polymarket with $830 total volume.

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 16.5% · CLOB volume $830 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0.

Implied Yes

16.5%

Yes

Implied No

83.5%

Volume

$830

CLOB

Traders

0 trades

Live snapshot from Polymarket (Gamma). This market is not fully in our on-chain index yet — whale tape and historical fills may be empty until sync catches up.

Yes 16.5%No 83.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 16.5% — No favored
•Thin liquidity ($830) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

0 shown

No recent on-chain fills in this window — volume above is live order-book activity; the fill tape may lag for new markets.

When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

Single-market event

No sibling markets for this event.

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

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Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

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