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Next French Presidential ElectionActive 271 days left

Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?

0xcd050c1af02067e33e03861ff6f67c1c85def8bf4bd196256e6d2b178509533b

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $4.54M · whales 24h net $646 (3 wallets) · 7d net $15.9k · 41/41 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$4.54M

CLOB

Traders

6,064

49,444 trades

Yes 0.1%No 99.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$646

Buy

$646

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$15.9k

Buy

$21.8k

Sell

$6.0k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($646)
•7d whale net still positive ($15.9k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-01 23:05:56

100.2¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-01 23:05:56

50000.0¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-01 21:55:23

100.2¢$2

NOBUY2026-08-01 21:55:23

50000.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-08-01 21:24:06

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xb687…aee5	$189.5k	$189.3k	$188	$-189.1k
0xc21e…0215	$82.7k	$82.7k	$0	$-82.7k
0x7449…c05e	$47.7k	$31.7k	$15.9k	$-15.8k
0x2106…4dea	$34.6k	$34.6k	$0	$-34.6k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb687…aee5	29,278	$2.02M	$-1.96M	40
0xc21e…0215	40,861	$1.73M	$-1.73M	26
0x2106…4dea	20,677	$1.39M	$-1.37M	41
0xb4f2…7862	4,801	$656.4k

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