Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

0xd05da9807740aa0f5bc9e9232daabe87a21e5012c19e283abf414f1c1651118b

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 32.5% · CLOB volume $48.3k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $2.2k · 4/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

32.5%

Yes

Implied No

67.5%

Volume

$48.3k

CLOB

Traders

269

1,773 trades

Yes 32.5%No 67.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$2.2k

Buy

$4.2k

Sell

$2.0k

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($2.2k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 32.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($48.3k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 13:07:17

312.5¢$100

NOBUY2026-08-04 13:07:17

147.1¢$100

NOBUY2026-08-03 19:08:36

67.0¢$27

YESBUY2026-08-03 19:08:36

33.0¢$3

YESBUY2026-08-03 19:08:36

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xbd14…76b4	$5.4k	$3.8k	$1.7k	$-2.1k
0xd8fa…5580	$5.0k	$2.8k	$2.2k	$-580
0x551e…b0e0	$4.9k	$2.4k	$2.5k	$6
0x6139…6b7a	$3.6k	$1.9k	$1.8k	$-120

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x0380…073d	357	$16.0k	$-12.5k	6
0x4b58…4adf	73	$15.0k	$-5.6k	1
0x21ff…0d71	257	$12.6k	$-12.6k	3
0xd8fa…5580	125	$11.5k

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