0xd93366079fab7bcb8a03705969822056b76226a48fd5bb7b1475a5b186cf6f07
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?” trades at 98% YES on Polymarket with $615.1k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 98.4% · CLOB volume $615.1k · whales 24h net $504 (11 wallets) · 7d net $76.6k · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
98.4%
Yes
Implied No
1.6%
No
Volume
$615.1k
CLOB
Traders
661
4,291 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
98.3% → 98.4% (+0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$504
Buy
$12.5k
Sell
$12.0k
Whales
11
Last 7 days
Net flow
$76.6k
Buy
$136.9k
Sell
$60.4k
Whales
48
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xed10…d2e5 | $118.4k | $104.4k | $13.9k | $-90.5k |
| 0xfcab…3376 | $53.5k | $1.9k | $51.7k | $49.8k |
| 0x849c…4009 | $33.6k | $33.6k | $0 | $-33.6k |
| 0xad96…d498 | $28.1k | $23.2k | $5.0k | $-18.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xed10…d2e5 | 83 | $118.4k | $-90.5k | 1 |
| 0xfcab…3376 | 90 | $53.5k | $49.8k | 1 |
| 0x849c…4009 | 66 | $33.6k | $-33.6k | 1 |
| 0xad96…d498 | 8 | $28.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
1 open · 1 total
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
open · $615.1k
98.4%
| 0x638e…2540 | $17.5k | $14.3k | $3.2k | $-11.0k |
| 0xefac…c9a1 | $15.8k | $630 | $15.1k | $14.5k |
| 0x5c60…67c1 | $14.7k | $14.6k | $137 | $-14.5k |
| 0xc071…1bee | $12.1k | $5.1k | $7.0k | $1.9k |
| 0x0845…6b6f | $8.2k | $7.8k | $410 | $-7.4k |
| 0x72a2…7b65 | $6.0k | $6.0k | $44 | $-5.9k |
| 0x8b7b…14fe | $6.0k | $3.3k | $2.7k | $-566 |
| 0x856a…4ea2 | $5.6k | $5.1k | $423 | $-4.7k |
| $-18.2k |
| 1 |
| 0x638e…2540 | 40 | $17.5k | $-11.0k | 1 |
| 0xefac…c9a1 | 82 | $15.8k | $14.5k | 1 |
| 0x5c60…67c1 | 34 | $14.7k | $-14.5k | 1 |
| 0xc071…1bee | 21 | $12.1k | $1.9k | 1 |
| 0x0845…6b6f | 25 | $8.2k | $-7.4k | 1 |
| 0x72a2…7b65 | 13 | $6.0k | $-5.9k | 1 |