0xd9fb1184af0064e5e34b129f5b79afa5a17b7e32f2953ab05efed82315fee6d4
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?” trades at 4% YES on Polymarket with $41.13M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 3.9% · CLOB volume $41.13M · whales 24h net $25.8k (53 wallets) · 7d net $330.3k · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
3.9%
Yes
Implied No
96.2%
No
Volume
$41.13M
CLOB
Traders
52,194
531,703 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
3.8% → 3.9% (+0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$25.8k
Buy
$34.8k
Sell
$9.0k
Whales
53
Last 7 days
Net flow
$330.3k
Buy
$592.0k
Sell
$261.8k
Whales
299
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x51df…458f | $514.9k | $253.2k | $261.7k | $8.5k |
| 0xc97b…47e5 | $372.5k | $258.2k | $114.4k | $-143.8k |
| 0x785d…fab9 | $239.3k | $239.3k | $0 | $-239.3k |
| 0x57de…cd90 | $183.4k | $183.4k | $0 | $-183.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x51df…458f | 28 | $514.9k | $8.5k | 1 |
| 0xc97b…47e5 | 495 | $372.5k | $-143.8k | 1 |
| 0x785d…fab9 | 11 | $239.3k | $-239.3k | 1 |
| 0x57de…cd90 | 1,010 | $183.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
1 open · 1 total
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
open · $41.13M
3.9%
| 0x4337…8882 | $178.1k | $178.1k | $0 | $-178.1k |
| 0x097d…e19b | $177.2k | $119.1k | $58.2k | $-60.9k |
| 0x6ae1…1e7e | $153.5k | $77.8k | $75.7k | $-2.1k |
| 0x8349…c99d | $148.0k | $75.0k | $72.9k | $-2.1k |
| 0xbadf…aef3 | $122.4k | $62.3k | $60.1k | $-2.2k |
| 0x8bc8…97dc | $108.9k | $108.0k | $891 | $-107.1k |
| 0x4004…c40b | $108.6k | $60.3k | $48.3k | $-12.0k |
| 0x5397…736b | $106.9k | $4.3k | $102.5k | $98.2k |
| $-183.4k |
| 1 |
| 0x4337…8882 | 43 | $178.1k | $-178.1k | 1 |
| 0x097d…e19b | 319 | $177.2k | $-60.9k | 1 |
| 0x6ae1…1e7e | 71 | $153.5k | $-2.1k | 1 |
| 0x8349…c99d | 60 | $148.0k | $-2.1k | 1 |
| 0xbadf…aef3 | 47 | $122.4k | $-2.2k | 1 |
| 0x8bc8…97dc | 903 | $108.9k | $-107.1k | 1 |
