Will Marcelo Silva win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?

0xd9fc4a8226eb038aaa3202517e88c5262cfa799badb73b0008e91d00ff2e9b2d

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.7% · CLOB volume $161 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 50/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.7%

Yes

Implied No

99.3%

Volume

$161

CLOB

Traders

51 trades

Yes 0.7%No 99.3%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.7% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($161) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

5 shown

NOBUY2026-07-16 18:05:26

99.2¢$25

—BUY2026-07-16 18:05:26

0.8¢$0

—BUY2026-07-16 18:05:26

0.9¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-15 15:52:40

14285.7¢$3

—BUY2026-07-15 15:52:40

0.7¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x4f1d…8de2	$25	$25	$0	$-25
0x83f5…4ae3	$3	$3	$0	$-3
0x613b…da44	$0	$0	$0	$-0
0xf2cf…464b	$0	$0	$0	$-0

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x3f1f…feae	109	$773	$-770	25
0x4f1d…8de2	90	$770	$-757	34
0x942e…be27	64	$520	$-512	28
0x9422…f273	42	$370

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