@-Guapo--

#3,070,56222

0x87256d0406f876184a66cc158415903bb242eb10

~554d· 9124 markets · 59701 tradesVol: $7,605,2922026-08-02 08:52:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (3927/9089)6.6/20
0.88x (win $878,646 / loss $993,845)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5470/15
Sortino -1.9640/10
$-0.0565 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 13 (9089 markets)10/10
229/500 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 2940% of peak ($123,306 / $4,194)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
74% entries < $0.55
Whale
$2,038,682 invested
High Roller
$3,450/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,879,143$-19,690Vol: $1,410,232
🏛️ POLITICS#1,629,439$-3,202Vol: $148,925
🎭 CULTURE#813,910$-1,509Vol: $71,426
CRYPTO#1,580,030$-429Vol: $23,888
💰 FINANCE#651,294$-727Vol: $9,776
📢 MENTIONS#2,900$338Vol: $3,350
💻 TECH#238,112$-28Vol: $2,510
📈 ECONOMICS#660,892$-110Vol: $1,648
🌤️ WEATHER#61,923$1Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-157,320
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,605,292
Total Redeem
$249,551
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9124
total markets
Trades
51558B / 8143S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~554d

Periods

#2
Today
$930
Vol: $2,271
Week
$1,959
Vol: $2,271
Month
$-3,599
Vol: $117,836
All Time
$-157,320
Vol: $7,605,292

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
3927W / 5162L events
Realized PnL
$-158,487
Win Rate
43%
3927W / 5162L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$224
Avg Loss
$-193

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $30,778 (0.1941972246037717% of PnL)

Top Winners

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?$11,139
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner$10,502
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$9,136
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$8,802
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$8,257
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner$7,575
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winner$7,316
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,052
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner$7,029
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?$6,882

Top Losers

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9,513
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?$-8,823
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$-8,550
Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$-7,438
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?$-7,386
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$-7,273
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-6,651
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)$-6,504
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,157
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$-5,822

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.081
Sortino
-0.088
HHI
10
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.058
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
3.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
101.0
Very active
Markets / Day
15.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
58s
between trades
Avg Gap
15.8m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
24 min
Avg Trades / Session
63.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 58s — normal for humanCV 3.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock101 trades/day — automation15 markets/day — mass coverage68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.46
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.4%
Mid (20-55c)58%
High (>55c)25.6%

Sessions

#12
5/7/2026, 11:20:42 AM63 trades$27,81120 min
6/5/2026, 1:18:25 PM180 trades$22,58954 min
6/6/2026, 4:12:27 PM75 trades$19,80512 min
4/24/2026, 9:54:10 AM21 trades$15,3569 min
5/10/2026, 2:57:14 PM118 trades$14,94048 min
5/25/2026, 6:37:50 AM6 trades$14,7093 min
5/7/2026, 2:20:44 PM115 trades$13,45946 min
6/6/2026, 9:58:03 AM137 trades$13,28449 min
5/18/2026, 1:25:57 AM24 trades$12,88418 min
5/9/2026, 7:35:12 AM67 trades$12,21127 min
6/7/2026, 4:42:36 PM26 trades$11,61713 min
7/26/2026, 1:37:58 PM101 trades$11,58621 min
6/6/2026, 12:15:10 PM68 trades$10,82721 min
4/25/2026, 10:43:54 AM70 trades$10,62219 min
5/2/2026, 12:10:38 PM42 trades$10,46914 min
6/6/2026, 1:19:37 PM40 trades$10,0197 min
4/25/2026, 6:45:50 PM157 trades$9,96937 min
5/12/2026, 2:38:59 PM25 trades$9,81313 min
6/7/2026, 3:27:55 PM69 trades$9,77120 min
5/1/2026, 10:04:20 AM74 trades$9,61840 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-02
05-21
08-18
11-09
02-09
05-08
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 353 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.46/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L16.4 / M58 / H25.6