-PsyDuck-

@-PsyDuck-

#2,306,10170

0x47969302f9170abc453cb9b5e434da95cf92ecc8

~17d· 99 markets · 244 tradesVol: $90,8602026-08-23 15:27:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

4% (3/81)0/20
5.40x (win $280 / loss $52)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.99215/15
Sortino 41.99310/10
$+3.9281 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 494 (81 markets)10/10
3/17 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($33 / $228)10/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
72% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
0% sells
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
100% maker orders

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#275,820$-39Vol: $90,860

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-39
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$90,860
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
99
total markets
Trades
244B / 0S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $1,802
Week
$-7
Vol: $1,802
Month
$-39
Vol: $90,860
All Time
$-39
Vol: $90,860

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
4%
3W / 76L events
Realized PnL
$-39
Win Rate
4%
3W / 76L
Profit Factor
5.4x
Avg Win
$93
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $280 (7.0972081218274115% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 99°F or below on August 21?$99
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?$99
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 6?$81

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 7?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 5?$-4
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on August 3?$-4
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 5?$-3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 6?$-3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 7?$-3
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 7?$-3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 7?$-2
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 9?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.355
Sortino
2.137
HHI
440
Diversified
EV per $1
$4.162
Kelly %
2.7%
Half-Kelly
1.4%
Top-1 market
9.7%
Top-5 markets
37.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.6
Active
Markets / Day
4.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
30.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1854s — normal for humanCV 1.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active4.7 markets/day — normal100% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.41
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)71.7%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)28.3%

Sessions

#12
8/5/2026, 5:11:53 AM1 trades$30 min
8/7/2026, 11:40:33 AM1 trades$30 min
8/6/2026, 9:30:03 PM2 trades$22 min
8/6/2026, 3:51:41 AM1 trades$20 min
8/6/2026, 10:41:41 PM3 trades$24 min
8/7/2026, 6:11:09 AM3 trades$20 min
8/7/2026, 2:02:06 PM2 trades$20 min
8/5/2026, 3:50:41 AM2 trades$20 min
8/7/2026, 2:10:43 PM1 trades$10 min
8/3/2026, 9:00:36 PM1 trades$10 min
8/7/2026, 8:28:46 AM1 trades$10 min
8/3/2026, 8:09:21 PM1 trades$10 min
8/3/2026, 9:32:32 PM6 trades$17 min
8/5/2026, 3:33:32 AM1 trades$10 min
8/6/2026, 3:33:33 AM1 trades$10 min
8/7/2026, 5:46:15 AM7 trades$12 min
8/7/2026, 8:42:19 AM1 trades$10 min
8/7/2026, 11:28:34 AM1 trades$10 min
8/7/2026, 11:35:18 AM3 trades$10 min
8/7/2026, 12:11:27 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-08-03 12:00:00
2026-08-06 12:00:00
2026-08-08 12:00:00
2026-08-10 12:00:00
2026-08-12 12:00:00
2026-08-14 12:00:00
2026-08-16 12:00:00
2026-08-20 12:00:00
2026-08-23 12:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.41/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L71.7 / M0 / H28.3