Polydata

@033033033

#72530

0xd1c769317bd15de7768a70d0214cf0bbcc531d2b

560d· 609 markets · 16665 tradesVol: $118,358,1072026-05-21T10:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.11x0/15
HHI 11510/10
Profit Days 12%0/10

Summary

Trader 033033033 is a moderately active participant on Polymarket, with 16,665 trades across 265 markets over 741 days. Ranked #725 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have generated a net profit of $223,388.71 from a total trading volume exceeding $118 million. Despite a substantial portfolio value of approximately $1.2 million, their overall Smart Score is below average at 30/100, and their Sharpe Ratio is negative, indicating volatility and risk in their returns.

033033033 appears to favor a high-frequency, high-volume trading style with a very low win rate of 19.2% and a profit factor of just 0.11, suggesting many small losing trades offset by a few large wins. Their low sell percentage of 3% and badges like Diamond Hands imply a tendency to hold positions longer rather than quick exits. The semi-bot score of 45/100 indicates a mix of automated and manual trading, but no exposure to weather markets was noted. The trader's profile suggests a high-risk strategy relying on occasional significant wins rather than consistent profits.

Strengths of 033033033 include the ability to sustain a large volume of trades and capitalize on rare profitable opportunities, as reflected in their Whale and Win Streak badges. However, the declining equity trend and negative Sharpe Ratio highlight concerns about portfolio stability and risk management. The low profit factor and win rate may expose the trader to extended periods of losses, making their approach potentially vulnerable during volatile market conditions on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+223,389
Diamond Hands
3% sell
Win Streak
38 wins in a row
Whale
$97,219,311
High Roller
$131,200/day

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#395$112,108Vol: $70,029,487
🎭 CULTURE#188$39,206Vol: $13,799,535
📢 MENTIONS#113$16,633Vol: $9,639,925
CRYPTO#2,426$16,664Vol: $8,154,899
SPORTS#2,694$17,438Vol: $8,112,071
💰 FINANCE#347$12,639Vol: $4,999,106
💻 TECH#229$7,006Vol: $2,201,483
📈 ECONOMICS#2,153$1,312Vol: $1,081,448
🌤️ WEATHER#9,238$45Vol: $25,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$223,389
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$118,358,107
Total Redeem
$30,039,929
Portfolio
$1,205,468
Predictions
609
total markets
Trades
16139B / 526S
Daily Volume
$131,200
Account Age
560d
since Nov 6, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$1,718
Vol: $960,238
Week
$6,125
Vol: $3,065,149
Month
$19,425
Vol: $8,415,513
All Time
$223,389
Vol: $118,358,107

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
226W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$215,756
Win Rate
19%
50W / 211L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$165,421
Avg Loss
$-351,032

Top Winners

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$2,500,409
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1,637,390
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$1,369,027
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a$790,070
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?$492,560
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?$381,529
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$350,750
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$192,431
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30$174,667
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$107,261

Top Losers

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$-2,564,944
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$-1,945,024
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?$-1,903,023
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$-1,849,455
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ $-1,657,258
US government shutdown Saturday?$-1,653,040
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$-1,637,613
Will the US strike Somalia next?$-1,598,352
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-1,567,755
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? $-1,547,554

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.428
Sortino
-0.435
HHI
115
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.684
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
12.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.3m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 144s — typical for humanSize CV 4.33 — diverse, typical for human28% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.85 — human randomness30 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
60.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
18 entries
<=2
31 entries
<=5
48 entries
<=10
87 entries
<=20
117 entries
<=50
170 entries
>50
95 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 66%

Toronto$6
Houston$-2,512
Denver$-28,147
Other$-65,766,082

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
231

Single bracket

<=1
213 brackets
<=2
221 brackets
<=3
228 brackets
<=4
230 brackets
<=5
230 brackets
<=8
231 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/7/2024, 11:31:40 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
11/8/2024, 3:31:04 AM1 trades$970 min
11/8/2024, 5:54:02 AM4 trades$7636 min
11/8/2024, 6:09:58 AM1 trades$340 min
11/8/2024, 10:29:47 PM1 trades$00 min
11/8/2024, 10:36:18 PM1 trades$30 min
11/8/2024, 10:47:58 PM1 trades$00 min
11/8/2024, 10:58:58 PM1 trades$00 min
11/8/2024, 11:16:08 PM1 trades$00 min
11/8/2024, 11:21:24 PM2 trades$194 min
11/9/2024, 12:05:22 AM1 trades$00 min
11/9/2024, 1:06:52 AM1 trades$8,7390 min
11/9/2024, 1:32:03 AM1 trades$00 min
11/9/2024, 2:16:12 AM1 trades$00 min
11/9/2024, 2:51:55 AM1 trades$00 min
11/9/2024, 3:19:32 AM1 trades$4050 min
11/9/2024, 3:41:48 AM1 trades$4,8050 min
11/9/2024, 3:48:04 AM1 trades$00 min
11/9/2024, 4:05:28 AM1 trades$1210 min
11/9/2024, 4:45:34 AM1 trades$2210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
05-09
09-17
11-17
01-01
03-21
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 60.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event