Polydata
Data is 8 days old — refreshing in background...

@033033033

#70055

0xd1c769317bd15de7768a70d0214cf0bbcc531d2b

608d· 665 markets · 18517 tradesVol: $144,977,4872026-06-30T01:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 414132.35x15/15
EV $+0.39410/10
HHI 11110/10
Profit Days 11%0/10

Summary

Trader 033033033 is a moderately active participant on Polymarket, with 18,517 trades executed across 741 days. They hold the rank of #700 on the global PnL leaderboard, reflecting a net profit of $265,899.07 from a total trading volume nearing $145 million. Despite this sizable activity, their portfolio value currently stands at $638,583.76, and their overall performance metrics show mixed results.

033033033 prefers a high-frequency trading approach with a relatively low win rate of 8.2% and a very low profit factor of 0.02, indicating that losses outweigh gains on average. The trader’s style suggests a preference for manual trading augmented by some automated processes, as indicated by their semi-bot score of 45/100. Their markets traded number is broad at 267, but they avoid weather markets entirely and sell only 3% of the time, implying a tendency to hold positions longer. The Sharpe ratio of -0.61 and a declining equity trend point toward a negative risk-adjusted return profile.

The main strengths of 033033033 lie in their consistent engagement and ability to maintain a profitable net PnL despite a challenging win rate, which may be driven by large position sizing as suggested by the Whale badge. However, the negative Sharpe ratio and downward equity trend highlight significant risks, including potential overexposure and drawdowns not currently reflected in drawdown duration data. Traders monitoring 033033033 should consider these factors when analyzing their trading behavior on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+265,899
Diamond Hands
3% sell
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
Whale
$105,908,360
High Roller
$142,926/day

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#371$136,939Vol: $87,084,174
📢 MENTIONS#84$23,830Vol: $13,569,962
CRYPTO#1,613$25,343Vol: $11,650,115
SPORTS#3,071$15,989Vol: $6,735,006
💰 FINANCE#376$13,362Vol: $5,848,878
💻 TECH#248$7,006Vol: $2,201,483
📈 ECONOMICS#2,307$1,312Vol: $1,081,448
🌤️ WEATHER#10,183$45Vol: $25,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$265,899
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$144,977,487
Total Redeem
$11,951,477
Portfolio
$638,584
Predictions
665
total markets
Trades
18001B / 516S
Daily Volume
$142,926
Account Age
608d
since Nov 6, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$1,245
Vol: $26,670
Week
$1,548
Vol: $1,227,665
Month
$30,762
Vol: $19,064,895
All Time
$265,899
Vol: $144,977,487

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
235W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$251,167
Win Rate
8%
20W / 225L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$83,184
Avg Loss
$-419,792

Top Winners

Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conf$681,678
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$342,208
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$150,221
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by Ju$122,728
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$101,464
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$70,881
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$51,996
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$51,820
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$32,579
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$30,590

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-2,896,957
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$-2,564,944
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$-2,500,470
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30$-2,436,439
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-2,140,911
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-2,129,729
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-2,014,939
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$-1,945,024
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$-1,849,455
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?$-1,744,471

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.614
Sortino
-0.600
HHI
111
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.394
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
11.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
35.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.0m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — typical for humanSize CV 4.36 — diverse, typical for human28% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.87 — human randomness35 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
67.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
14 entries
<=2
28 entries
<=5
50 entries
<=10
85 entries
<=20
112 entries
<=50
167 entries
>50
100 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 64.5%

Houston$-2,512
Denver$-28,147
Other$-92,758,953

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
229

Single bracket

<=1
213 brackets
<=2
218 brackets
<=3
224 brackets
<=4
226 brackets
<=5
227 brackets
<=8
229 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/20/2025, 6:57:26 AM1 trades$970 min
1/21/2025, 1:01:23 PM1 trades$1,9900 min
1/21/2025, 2:03:44 PM3 trades$7,8213 min
1/21/2025, 6:01:55 PM4 trades$9,9001 min
1/21/2025, 6:23:35 PM5 trades$12,5754 min
1/21/2025, 6:33:49 PM3 trades$36,0301 min
1/21/2025, 7:09:48 PM1 trades$9,8800 min
1/21/2025, 7:38:02 PM3 trades$50,0065 min
1/21/2025, 8:01:35 PM1 trades$108,9000 min
1/22/2025, 7:05:15 PM1 trades$128,2430 min
2/7/2025, 6:54:16 PM1 trades$21,9560 min
2/11/2025, 4:39:28 PM3 trades$83,9161 min
2/11/2025, 4:49:16 PM1 trades$2,9970 min
2/11/2025, 5:20:13 PM1 trades$131,6040 min
2/14/2025, 1:46:48 AM2 trades$9,9905 min
2/14/2025, 2:54:44 AM1 trades$1000 min
2/14/2025, 3:46:55 AM1 trades$80 min
2/14/2025, 4:03:04 AM1 trades$4,8400 min
2/14/2025, 4:41:50 AM2 trades$9,9094 min
2/14/2025, 5:12:56 AM1 trades$25,1030 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
07-31
10-26
12-02
02-28
05-16
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 67.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event