@99problems123

#11,90921

0x00425c692a667981118f679ef68fdc775257321e

~128d· 327 markets · 15102 tradesVol: $17,838,3722026-08-03 16:57:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (139/311)7.3/20
0.75x (win $545,046 / loss $722,792)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1620/15
Sortino -1.3920/10
$-0.0430 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 449 (311 markets)10/10
44/98 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 249% of peak ($391,343 / $157,022)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+12,558
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
Whale
$4,131,744 invested
High Roller
$22,702/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,510$31,560Vol: $10,166,161
SPORTS#1,881,900$-51,388Vol: $3,702,884
💰 FINANCE#1,362$3,850Vol: $1,922,709
📈 ECONOMICS#146$48,424Vol: $1,179,374
💻 TECH#2,544$408Vol: $519,193
CRYPTO#1,673,449$-17,966Vol: $270,244
🎭 CULTURE#814,459$-2,871Vol: $73,380
📢 MENTIONS#2,074$541Vol: $4,428

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12,558
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,838,372
Total Redeem
$405,846
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
327
total markets
Trades
9114B / 5988S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~128d

Periods

#2
Today
$-449
Vol: $0
Week
$-449
Vol: $0
Month
$-1,880
Vol: $9,765
All Time
$12,558
Vol: $17,838,372

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
139W / 172L events
Realized PnL
$12,558
Win Rate
45%
139W / 172L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$3,921
Avg Loss
$-4,277

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $233,151 (18.566595846001686% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$90,850
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$76,782
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$65,519
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$46,325
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$26,137
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$24,480
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$19,107
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$15,334
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$14,047
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$9,269

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-207,296
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-53,066
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-48,825
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$-21,200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-21,093
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$-19,922
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$-17,067
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$-16,522
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-15,202
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-14,762

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.060
Sortino
-0.056
HHI
381
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.045
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
35.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
83.0
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
20.2m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
72.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 7.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock83 trades/day — mass trading1.8 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
46.67
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.9%
Mid (20-55c)39.2%
High (>55c)19.9%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 1:47:27 PM15 trades$677,8434 min
5/9/2026, 6:39:33 PM17 trades$516,1015 min
4/8/2026, 3:01:45 AM2 trades$224,8220 min
5/10/2026, 12:29:08 PM72 trades$220,7481 min
4/8/2026, 8:41:33 PM9 trades$219,2401 min
4/8/2026, 3:11:03 AM23 trades$215,2024 min
4/30/2026, 9:38:46 PM17 trades$185,9212 min
6/14/2026, 9:16:18 PM297 trades$125,82428 min
4/24/2026, 2:13:18 PM37 trades$115,92410 min
4/7/2026, 11:03:59 PM20 trades$115,9229 min
4/13/2026, 12:31:05 AM19 trades$106,21214 min
4/6/2026, 10:11:19 PM70 trades$100,62810 min
3/2/2026, 5:07:05 AM5 trades$97,3184 min
6/14/2026, 9:55:18 PM119 trades$81,29011 min
4/6/2026, 10:43:51 PM5 trades$79,6000 min
2/1/2026, 11:42:42 PM16 trades$76,87131 min
5/25/2026, 3:13:54 PM47 trades$71,4182 min
4/27/2026, 3:51:00 PM79 trades$70,44727 min
4/8/2026, 9:50:13 PM1 trades$69,5100 min
6/14/2026, 10:53:42 PM222 trades$69,33912 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-01
02-20
03-19
04-12
05-01
05-22
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 46.67/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.9 / M39.2 / H19.9