@johnnycarey

#1,450,55940

0x026bb868cc7139a7a7c5c0c6861c00c075e8790f

~36d· 42 markets · 59 tradesVol: $11,6482026-10-07 15:57:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (37/41)20/20
0.62x (win $12 / loss $19)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3810/15
Sortino -2.4180/10
$-0.0020 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 337 (41 markets)10/10
32/35 profitable days (91%)10/10
Max DD 424% of peak ($11 / $3)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Consistent
32/35 profitable days
Win Streak
21 wins in a row

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#1,004,594$-4Vol: $11,084
🏛️ POLITICS#310,990$1Vol: $517
🎭 CULTURE#274,320$0Vol: $24
💰 FINANCE#242,299$0Vol: $24

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,648
Total Redeem
$330
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
42B / 17S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Week
$24
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $24
All Time
$-3
Vol: $11,648

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
36W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-3
Win Rate
90%
36W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5 (1.9763779527559053% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by April 30, 2026?$2
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?$2
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?$1
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?$1
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$1
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 7?$0
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?$0

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on January 7?$-8
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$-5
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$-3
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.123
Sortino
-0.076
HHI
340
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
21.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
43
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6140s — normal for humanCV 0.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.41
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.4%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)95.2%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 11:24:23 AM2 trades$2040 min
5/11/2026, 2:36:33 PM5 trades$1940 min
12/26/2025, 6:34:17 PM1 trades$1290 min
12/29/2025, 1:01:43 PM1 trades$1280 min
12/19/2025, 11:47:02 AM1 trades$1250 min
12/6/2025, 10:41:23 AM1 trades$1240 min
10/20/2025, 9:35:11 AM1 trades$1240 min
10/27/2025, 12:16:23 PM1 trades$1240 min
11/7/2025, 8:22:41 AM1 trades$1240 min
11/25/2025, 11:50:25 AM1 trades$1240 min
10/6/2025, 1:24:43 PM1 trades$1220 min
3/6/2026, 3:30:59 PM1 trades$1220 min
11/22/2025, 1:03:13 PM1 trades$1220 min
10/24/2025, 1:12:59 PM1 trades$1220 min
10/29/2025, 2:33:01 PM1 trades$1220 min
2/25/2026, 1:58:16 PM1 trades$1210 min
2/20/2026, 12:23:26 PM1 trades$1210 min
3/26/2026, 11:34:45 AM1 trades$1190 min
3/30/2026, 10:13:22 AM1 trades$1180 min
9/22/2025, 2:15:48 PM1 trades$1160 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-15
10-20
11-22
12-29
01-27
03-06
04-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 112 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.4 / M2.4 / H95.2