@0x028531…4681

#3,145,43360

0x028531362ee0cce8097d5b65ae9f533caa9d96b9

~12d· 16 markets · 198 tradesVol: $276,0602026-10-07 18:32:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (3/11)0/20
4.08x (win $87,563 / loss $21,450)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.57415/15
Sortino 27.92910/10
$+3.1406 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2810 (11 markets)0/10
1/7 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($18,576 / $84,689)9.6/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
70% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 22%

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,814$-2,013Vol: $225,887
📈 ECONOMICS#698,172$-2,241Vol: $50,173

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,254
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$276,060
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
16
total markets
Trades
33B / 165S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$240
Vol: $0
Week
$-675
Vol: $0
Month
$-3,823
Vol: $152,687
All Time
$-4,254
Vol: $276,060

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
3W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-1,646
Win Rate
27%
3W / 8L
Profit Factor
4.08x
Avg Win
$29,188
Avg Loss
$-2,681

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $87,563 (53.20384615384616% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$72,611
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$13,100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1,852

Top Losers

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$-16,864
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-1,463
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$-1,200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-800
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-611
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$-386
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$-89
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$-37

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.270
Sortino
1.439
HHI
7394
Concentrated
EV per $1
$1.867
Kelly %
7.7%
Half-Kelly
3.8%
Top-1 market
62.3%
Top-5 markets
155.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
50s
between trades
Avg Gap
49.0m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 50s — normal for humanCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.91
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)69.7%
Mid (20-55c)15.2%
High (>55c)15.2%

Sessions

#12
9/16/2026, 5:38:45 PM17 trades$21,6451 min
6/11/2026, 2:47:30 PM10 trades$19,4221 min
9/16/2026, 7:32:51 AM5 trades$16,3380 min
8/25/2026, 12:01:34 PM29 trades$12,8323 min
9/20/2026, 7:17:22 AM18 trades$6,4194 min
6/11/2026, 7:24:57 PM10 trades$6,2380 min
8/10/2026, 9:05:01 AM18 trades$6,1151 min
6/11/2026, 6:02:24 PM21 trades$5,7990 min
6/11/2026, 8:31:03 PM6 trades$5,0180 min
8/17/2026, 10:57:12 AM22 trades$2,7700 min
8/10/2026, 8:43:42 AM13 trades$2,6265 min
5/25/2026, 3:19:15 PM11 trades$1,9970 min
5/20/2026, 6:53:47 AM2 trades$1,8180 min
9/22/2026, 1:34:30 PM5 trades$1,1540 min
5/23/2026, 5:06:30 AM2 trades$5450 min
6/8/2026, 1:56:57 PM5 trades$4900 min
4/24/2026, 7:49:28 PM2 trades$3060 min
9/16/2026, 5:10:22 PM2 trades$1660 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-23
05-25
06-11
08-10
08-17
09-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 97 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
83.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.91/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69.7 / M15.2 / H15.2