@gertrudeee

#3,101,86638

0x02953a0d785f85f388165d3380629c7bbc7fed9d

~24d· 107 markets · 853 tradesVol: $87,1762026-10-04 01:47:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (32/88)3.2/20
1.12x (win $6,847 / loss $6,127)4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.73613.8/15
Sortino 2.32110/10
$+0.0315 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 1481 (88 markets)5.1/10
5/17 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 80% of peak ($2,882 / $3,601)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
50% entries < $0.55

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,851,894$-603Vol: $38,391
🎭 CULTURE#819,784$-968Vol: $31,598
🏛️ POLITICS#1,602,919$-426Vol: $13,146
₿ CRYPTO#1,416,402$-52Vol: $1,962
📈 ECONOMICS#663,548$-56Vol: $1,240
💻 TECH#263,787$-100Vol: $583
🌤️ WEATHER#27,621$6Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,248
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$87,176
Total Redeem
$202
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
107
total markets
Trades
279B / 574S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$-315
Vol: $878
Month
$-293
Vol: $5,625
All Time
$-2,248
Vol: $87,176

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
32W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$-2,069
Win Rate
36%
32W / 56L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$214
Avg Loss
$-130

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,012 (2.4228696017906604% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$3,166
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1,555
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$291
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$244
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$233
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$202
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$128
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$128
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$117
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$108

Top Losers

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-724
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-624
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-463
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-400
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$-353
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-300
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$-240
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$-207
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$-203
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.037
Sortino
0.156
HHI
1839
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39.8%
Top-5 markets
65.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 248s — normal for humanCV 2.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.19
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.1%
Mid (20-55c)25.1%
High (>55c)49.8%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 6:02:14 AM29 trades$7,6191 min
4/12/2026, 6:05:23 PM10 trades$4,5850 min
6/9/2026, 9:13:19 AM51 trades$4,51318 min
4/28/2026, 9:19:04 AM40 trades$3,2064 min
4/28/2026, 5:41:34 PM31 trades$2,9695 min
4/28/2026, 7:28:50 PM34 trades$2,3750 min
9/23/2026, 9:51:02 AM40 trades$2,22216 min
9/25/2026, 12:00:14 PM11 trades$1,1033 min
4/30/2026, 9:50:28 AM67 trades$1,06010 min
4/29/2026, 5:58:10 AM18 trades$8393 min
6/9/2026, 2:27:49 PM7 trades$7660 min
9/24/2026, 1:09:32 PM11 trades$7463 min
4/27/2026, 1:04:42 PM33 trades$6617 min
6/9/2026, 12:01:09 PM21 trades$6492 min
4/28/2026, 7:51:36 PM3 trades$6200 min
6/19/2026, 7:36:31 AM15 trades$6175 min
6/8/2026, 3:39:46 PM2 trades$6000 min
6/5/2026, 7:33:27 AM5 trades$5620 min
4/28/2026, 2:58:24 PM9 trades$4822 min
4/27/2026, 3:21:44 PM21 trades$4533 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
04-16
04-21
04-27
04-29
06-05
06-09
06-11
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 52 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.1 / M25.1 / H49.8