DontTrustMe

@DontTrustMe

#14,37099

0x04039b3e116a67715eb5a13c1486724ed66ca7ee

~183d· 104 markets · 1201 tradesVol: $88,4332026-08-02 06:30:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

99
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (51/59)20/20
16.40x (win $9,321 / loss $568)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.60915/15
Sortino 80.37310/10
$+0.2233 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 655 (59 markets)9.2/10
37/44 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($324 / $8,752)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+10,220
DCA Master
Avg 11.1 entries/market
Consistent
37/44 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 4%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#3,743$10,124Vol: $64,919
SPORTS#1,814,665$-759Vol: $12,719
💻 TECH#2,088$555Vol: $6,501
💰 FINANCE#15,176$139Vol: $2,674
📈 ECONOMICS#11,410$116Vol: $947
🎭 CULTURE#32,528$45Vol: $673

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10,220
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$88,433
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
104
total markets
Trades
860B / 341S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~183d

Periods

#2
Today
$51
Vol: $0
Week
$344
Vol: $0
Month
$149
Vol: $408
All Time
$10,220
Vol: $88,433

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
51W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$10,220
Win Rate
86%
51W / 8L
Profit Factor
16.4x
Avg Win
$183
Avg Loss
$-71

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,720 (0.6575247164361365% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?$3,969
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?$2,317
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$434
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$323
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$290
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$261
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?$217
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$202
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$198
Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$141

Top Losers

French election called by October 17?$-261
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?$-141
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-100
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$-36
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-14
French election called by October 10?$-9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.290
Sortino
2.085
HHI
197
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.416
Kelly %
78.0%
Half-Kelly
39.0%
Top-1 market
9.2%
Top-5 markets
25.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1704s — normal for humanCV 2.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.14
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.4%
Mid (20-55c)16.6%
High (>55c)70.9%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 7:43:35 PM6 trades$2,0550 min
7/8/2026, 11:04:17 PM9 trades$1,8730 min
4/12/2026, 4:21:43 PM8 trades$1,2005 min
7/7/2026, 11:38:25 AM3 trades$1,0072 min
9/8/2025, 4:40:16 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
3/6/2026, 6:12:45 PM1 trades$9380 min
4/28/2026, 6:40:08 PM2 trades$9030 min
1/1/2026, 8:26:03 PM9 trades$89111 min
7/31/2026, 12:59:11 AM12 trades$8485 min
7/25/2026, 4:17:43 PM19 trades$8303 min
7/16/2026, 7:01:26 PM8 trades$7590 min
7/5/2026, 11:00:13 PM3 trades$7000 min
6/18/2026, 7:03:44 PM7 trades$6250 min
7/7/2026, 8:24:05 PM10 trades$6100 min
10/28/2025, 3:23:09 PM2 trades$5630 min
11/21/2025, 6:47:43 PM1 trades$5000 min
11/21/2025, 7:35:21 PM1 trades$5000 min
11/23/2025, 11:33:31 AM1 trades$4810 min
6/16/2026, 10:44:07 PM9 trades$4800 min
10/29/2025, 6:21:41 PM2 trades$4400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
06-29
10-04
10-26
01-20
04-20
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.4 / M16.6 / H70.9