@misha-d1

#2,930,47115

0x040ad8ef62b111e76b21576efd1a9c0807b5118d

~22d· 115 markets · 249 tradesVol: $46,1012026-08-04 23:40:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (24/71)1.9/20
0.54x (win $287 / loss $531)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5360/15
Sortino -4.2630/10
$-0.0477 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 411 (71 markets)10/10
15/35 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 1929% of peak ($212 / $11)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
8% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,525,128$-102Vol: $17,415
💰 FINANCE#644,765$-258Vol: $10,835
🎭 CULTURE#801,358$-320Vol: $3,541
📢 MENTIONS#154,026$-41Vol: $3,004
⚽ SPORTS#1,612,061$-57Vol: $2,826
💻 TECH#21,760$7Vol: $1,910
🌤️ WEATHER#244,046$-10Vol: $1,587
₿ CRYPTO#1,258,043$-20Vol: $911
📈 ECONOMICS#34,293$15Vol: $407

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,028
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,101
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
115
total markets
Trades
230B / 19S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$18
Vol: $2,116
Week
$-7
Vol: $6,814
Month
$-43
Vol: $12,917
All Time
$-1,028
Vol: $46,101

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
26W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$-1,028
Win Rate
35%
26W / 49L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $153 (0.14869056996431038% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$65
Will LGD Gaming Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?$53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$22
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$13
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$11
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$10
Will no MrBeast video be posted?$10
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?$8

Top Losers

Damian Salas$-93
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-93
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$-92
Will Trump say "Female" this week?$-50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$-23
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-18
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in July?$-18
Will Warren Petersen be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?$-12
Will Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?$-12
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.182
Sortino
-0.202
HHI
103
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.095
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
16.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1995s — normal for humanCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.14
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)52.6%
Mid (20-55c)8.7%
High (>55c)38.7%

Sessions

#12
8/3/2026, 1:43:44 PM3 trades$1854 min
7/23/2026, 7:38:15 AM2 trades$1781 min
7/17/2026, 7:36:07 AM5 trades$1733 min
7/31/2026, 2:49:26 PM3 trades$1244 min
7/16/2026, 5:49:44 PM1 trades$1060 min
8/4/2026, 12:44:03 PM2 trades$963 min
8/3/2026, 9:03:36 PM3 trades$953 min
7/18/2026, 9:49:34 PM2 trades$952 min
7/22/2026, 5:50:52 AM1 trades$950 min
8/1/2026, 8:35:11 AM1 trades$940 min
8/1/2026, 2:38:33 PM1 trades$940 min
8/2/2026, 11:07:11 AM1 trades$940 min
7/31/2026, 1:38:59 PM1 trades$940 min
8/1/2026, 1:53:29 PM4 trades$933 min
8/1/2026, 9:01:45 PM1 trades$930 min
7/23/2026, 11:53:09 PM1 trades$930 min
7/25/2026, 12:05:16 PM1 trades$930 min
7/20/2026, 2:34:30 AM1 trades$930 min
7/16/2026, 5:17:17 PM17 trades$931 min
8/1/2026, 1:06:38 AM1 trades$920 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-11 23:59:00
2026-07-17 20:00:00
2026-07-20 03:59:00
2026-07-22 21:00:00
2026-07-29 00:00:00
2026-08-01 03:59:59
2026-08-07 20:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.14/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52.6 / M8.7 / H38.7