@Raypalgrewal

#2,995,40411

0x04c293c9dec1acf85d3b98fdf1a4908712d71478

~16d· 14 markets · 56 tradesVol: $36,8632026-08-26 01:25:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (5/14)2.9/20
0.65x (win $2,751 / loss $4,229)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6260/15
Sortino -3.4380/10
$-0.2250 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1172 (14 markets)6.6/10
5/14 profitable days (36%)1.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($3,965 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,829$-2,261Vol: $29,775
⚽ SPORTS#59,799$459Vol: $3,753
₿ CRYPTO#1,382,977$-41Vol: $2,300
💰 FINANCE#8,113$407Vol: $807
🎭 CULTURE#24,313$80Vol: $226

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,356
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,863
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
23B / 33S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
5W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-1,356
Win Rate
36%
5W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$550
Avg Loss
$-529

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,567 (1.8927309867775786% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,815
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$435
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$316
Gane vs. Volkov$105
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$80

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-1,677
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-1,024
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$-925
Trudeau out in 2024?$-249
Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$-160
Dolphins vs. Rams$-100
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-53
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?$-41

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.132
Sortino
-0.174
HHI
2139
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.175
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30%
Top-5 markets
92.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 979s — normal for humanCV 0.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.1%
Mid (20-55c)26.1%
High (>55c)34.8%

Sessions

#12
10/30/2024, 5:47:06 PM2 trades$1,2221 min
11/5/2024, 9:41:55 PM2 trades$1,1690 min
3/10/2026, 11:33:47 PM2 trades$1,0241 min
11/6/2024, 1:29:41 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
6/11/2026, 4:49:15 PM15 trades$8000 min
3/30/2026, 7:06:17 PM1 trades$7240 min
6/28/2026, 2:07:41 AM2 trades$6000 min
6/11/2026, 6:53:15 PM5 trades$5670 min
7/14/2026, 7:54:38 PM5 trades$5650 min
3/9/2026, 3:09:03 AM1 trades$5130 min
7/19/2026, 7:17:22 PM2 trades$5000 min
3/9/2026, 2:36:17 AM1 trades$4710 min
3/9/2026, 1:28:51 AM1 trades$4710 min
3/7/2026, 12:50:57 AM1 trades$3670 min
7/19/2026, 7:01:03 PM2 trades$3000 min
12/21/2024, 2:58:44 AM2 trades$2552 min
12/21/2024, 12:17:32 AM4 trades$2492 min
12/8/2024, 4:45:24 AM1 trades$2490 min
3/16/2026, 1:50:15 AM1 trades$1460 min
3/9/2026, 10:46:45 PM1 trades$1460 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
11-11
12-21
03-09
03-16
06-11
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 5/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.1 / M26.1 / H34.8