iForgor

@iForgor

#9,40422

0x0562e01b3c3e65bb93bf0de32f02cec238a79d66

~450d· 1750 markets · 27111 tradesVol: $9,893,645 @iForgor_PM2026-08-04 14:06:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (730/1724)6.2/20
0.93x (win $420,793 / loss $453,668)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5070/15
Sortino -0.6810/10
$-0.0205 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 54 (1724 markets)10/10
173/383 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 407% of peak ($72,280 / $17,781)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+16,951
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
Whale
$1,605,622 invested
High Roller
$3,277/day
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,488$32,303Vol: $5,318,352
🎭 CULTURE#1,932$3,825Vol: $1,702,606
💰 FINANCE#658,352$-14,749Vol: $779,506
CRYPTO#1,669,717$-6,718Vol: $571,335
📢 MENTIONS#131$15,414Vol: $513,646
📈 ECONOMICS#2,052$1,893Vol: $385,331
SPORTS#1,877,162$-10,087Vol: $168,557
💻 TECH#257,693$-1,238Vol: $162,897
🌤️ WEATHER#1,401$1,212Vol: $10,797

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16,353
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,893,645
Total Redeem
$2,874
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1750
total markets
Trades
19365B / 7746S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~450d

Periods

#2
Today
$75
Vol: $203
Week
$-50
Vol: $12,969
Month
$537
Vol: $14,019
All Time
$16,353
Vol: $9,893,645

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
730W / 994L events
Realized PnL
$16,951
Win Rate
42%
730W / 994L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$576
Avg Loss
$-462

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $47,037 (2.7749521107549775% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$17,323
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$15,993
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$13,721
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$10,541
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10,516
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$8,608
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$7,696
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$6,718
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$6,660
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$5,986

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-17,294
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-12,253
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-11,975
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?$-8,109
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$-7,825
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?$-7,761
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$-7,611
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-6,565
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-6,413
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-6,283

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.026
Sortino
-0.029
HHI
50
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
9.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
55.3
Very active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.9m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.0

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 176s — normal for humanCV 3.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock55 trades/day — mass trading3.6 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.39
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.6%
Mid (20-55c)34.4%
High (>55c)22%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 12:34:54 AM10 trades$31,7673 min
6/15/2026, 2:42:01 AM91 trades$24,84732 min
5/12/2026, 4:14:37 AM21 trades$21,8317 min
5/17/2026, 5:15:36 PM21 trades$21,15412 min
5/31/2026, 3:57:09 AM2 trades$20,0000 min
4/8/2026, 1:29:11 AM85 trades$18,37233 min
4/22/2026, 1:05:26 PM42 trades$16,91412 min
4/7/2026, 11:14:27 PM21 trades$15,62819 min
5/29/2026, 3:16:56 PM17 trades$14,3527 min
6/12/2026, 12:54:21 AM52 trades$13,68720 min
4/2/2026, 1:38:39 AM16 trades$13,5282 min
5/9/2026, 2:53:51 AM7 trades$12,8031 min
4/17/2026, 12:43:58 PM77 trades$12,64941 min
4/30/2026, 9:47:38 AM13 trades$12,1136 min
5/16/2026, 10:59:20 AM27 trades$12,0367 min
4/25/2026, 4:21:04 PM17 trades$11,8289 min
5/2/2026, 11:06:06 AM8 trades$11,7394 min
8/28/2025, 5:05:13 PM4 trades$11,6280 min
5/4/2026, 2:52:00 AM12 trades$11,4840 min
2/16/2026, 3:03:03 AM19 trades$11,43518 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
06-21
08-30
11-11
01-22
04-21
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 285 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.39/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.6 / M34.4 / H22