@ASteroide
290x05c611fd744bf70187565444f63c5dc02342d823
~283d· 2437 markets · 4237 trades2026-08-02 04:14:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
58% (1360/2352)13.9/20
0.72x (win $29,206 / loss $40,321)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9040/15
Sortino -1.0750/10
$-0.0239 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 606 (2352 markets)9.5/10
137/267 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($14,972 / $0)0/10
Badges
3Whale
$465,477 invested
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-18,151
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$465,477
Total Redeem
$14,584
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2437
total markets
Trades
3143B / 1094S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~283d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
58%
1360W / 992L events
Realized PnL
$-18,151
Win Rate
58%
1360W / 992L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-44
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,505 (0.7991489249171954% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$6,440
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,021
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$3,045
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$2,931
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?$1,212
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$1,151
Lakers vs. Mavericks$545
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$525
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$494
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?$280
Top Losers
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$-10,960
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-6,255
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-5,714
US bank failure by March 31?$-2,510
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,693
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?$-1,304
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$-1,248
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?$-928
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-532
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?$-508
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.047
Sortino
-0.039
HHI
261
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12%
Top-5 markets
29%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 5.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal3.6 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.61
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.2%
Mid (20-55c)22.6%
High (>55c)69.3%
Sessions
#126/2/2026, 8:06:33 AM92 trades$70,1134 min
1/19/2026, 8:39:52 AM16 trades$22,3186 min
2/5/2026, 9:00:49 AM14 trades$21,3638 min
2/18/2026, 8:55:36 AM13 trades$20,4114 min
3/16/2026, 9:35:11 AM13 trades$19,19413 min
5/23/2026, 9:07:34 AM27 trades$18,9410 min
3/13/2026, 10:04:57 AM11 trades$18,5468 min
5/31/2026, 8:50:43 AM2 trades$18,0000 min
6/1/2026, 8:56:44 AM2 trades$18,0000 min
3/12/2026, 3:42:11 PM28 trades$17,8503 min
3/13/2026, 4:19:09 PM2 trades$17,3770 min
6/1/2026, 5:48:18 PM1 trades$12,9780 min
2/19/2026, 10:57:32 AM4 trades$12,8323 min
6/21/2026, 4:14:46 PM13 trades$12,76611 min
6/11/2026, 2:29:27 AM7 trades$11,02212 min
11/6/2025, 9:28:17 PM1 trades$10,4080 min
5/27/2026, 7:33:20 PM3 trades$10,0804 min
10/28/2025, 10:11:49 PM1 trades$8,6890 min
3/24/2026, 9:27:27 AM6 trades$8,1636 min
2/8/2026, 10:56:15 PM2 trades$7,9980 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-30
11-03
12-20
02-02
03-20
05-18
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.2 / M22.6 / H69.3