@fourcoin15m

#17,25638

0x0629ad7753ba6a7bf22dc816df228e92364c501d

~33d· 754 markets · 882 tradesVol: $180,1452026-10-08 03:04:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

96% (697/727)20/20
0.85x (win $257 / loss $302)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9110/15
Sortino -2.0690/10
$-0.0037 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 16 (727 markets)10/10
19/31 profitable days (61%)7.8/10
Max DD 253% of peak ($84 / $33)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+274
Diamond Hands
8% sells
Consistent
19/31 profitable days
Win Streak
91 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#7,785$83Vol: $66,494
🏛️ POLITICS#5,206$6,794Vol: $43,482
🎭 CULTURE#19,588$110Vol: $14,040
⚽ SPORTS#55,083$529Vol: $13,988
₿ CRYPTO#1,431,854$-58Vol: $13,778
📈 ECONOMICS#7,994$210Vol: $11,752
💻 TECH#2,889$378Vol: $11,668
💰 FINANCE#13,375$175Vol: $2,956

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,246
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$180,145
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
754
total markets
Trades
814B / 68S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$552
Vol: $7,654
Week
$22,645
Vol: $59,418
Month
$22,285
Vol: $157,719
All Time
$8,246
Vol: $180,145

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
96%
697W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$274
Win Rate
96%
697W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18 (0.0663697429906542% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$7
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 12?$6
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$5
Will Robin Peguero be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?$4
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 13?$4
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-08-17?$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$3
Will Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz end in a draw?$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$2

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$-25
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$-25
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-23
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$-18
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.098
Sortino
-0.082
HHI
16
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.4m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.48
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 980s — normal for humanCV 0.48 — uniform order sizes28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal3.1 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.12
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)1.7%
High (>55c)97.7%

Sessions

#12
1/9/2026, 1:28:44 AM4 trades$740 min
1/12/2026, 3:12:06 AM3 trades$740 min
1/9/2026, 8:57:08 AM3 trades$742 min
1/12/2026, 7:12:06 AM3 trades$743 min
1/8/2026, 2:27:13 AM4 trades$593 min
1/8/2026, 11:57:07 AM4 trades$592 min
1/5/2026, 5:42:07 AM3 trades$590 min
1/2/2026, 5:12:07 PM4 trades$591 min
1/7/2026, 3:12:33 AM3 trades$561 min
1/5/2026, 4:12:07 PM3 trades$533 min
12/25/2025, 3:27:33 PM3 trades$501 min
1/12/2026, 12:42:04 AM2 trades$500 min
1/9/2026, 3:12:06 AM2 trades$500 min
1/9/2026, 4:42:08 AM2 trades$502 min
1/9/2026, 8:12:10 AM2 trades$503 min
1/9/2026, 11:12:08 AM2 trades$503 min
1/12/2026, 9:57:06 AM2 trades$500 min
1/12/2026, 3:27:06 PM2 trades$490 min
1/9/2026, 11:42:06 AM2 trades$491 min
1/12/2026, 6:57:06 AM2 trades$491 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
12-23
12-28
01-02
01-07
01-12
08-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
14% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.6 / M1.7 / H97.7