Polydata

@melonmanm

#6,54991

0x0787a58e205a70320db638113fe8da18c8800ca3

~94d· 400 markets · 7347 tradesVol: $510,6832026-07-31 15:29:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (187/315)14.7/20
3.90x (win $43,822 / loss $11,250)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.20515/15
Sortino 26.14210/10
$+0.1641 per $1 invested8.2/10
HHI 167 (315 markets)10/10
48/78 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($3,558 / $32,572)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+24,447
DCA Master
Avg 20.9 entries/market
Whale
$198,436 invested
Consistent
48/78 profitable days
High Roller
$1,908/day
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#2,104$20,950Vol: $431,603
💰 FINANCE#1,533$3,377Vol: $29,379
💻 TECH#2,213$504Vol: $18,595
📈 ECONOMICS#664,104$-128Vol: $15,863
SPORTS#171,529$46Vol: $10,700
🎭 CULTURE#800,584$-323Vol: $2,611
📢 MENTIONS#7,964$63Vol: $245
🌤️ WEATHER#157,328$-0Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$24,442
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$510,683
Total Redeem
$29
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
400
total markets
Trades
3924B / 3423S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~94d

Periods

#2
Today
$-59
Vol: $6,774
Week
$307
Vol: $26,837
Month
$8,497
Vol: $145,409
All Time
$24,442
Vol: $510,683

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
59%
187W / 128L events
Realized PnL
$24,447
Win Rate
59%
187W / 128L
Profit Factor
3.9x
Avg Win
$234
Avg Loss
$-95

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,752 (0.6852444894214318% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$11,920
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$2,512
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$2,320
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$2,086
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$1,969
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?$1,925
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1,718
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$1,088
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$1,020
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?$823

Top Losers

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-1,299
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-1,280
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$-802
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-566
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$-545
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-491
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?$-432
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-357
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$-325
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-292

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.271
Sortino
0.940
HHI
157
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.186
Kelly %
30.6%
Half-Kelly
15.3%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
22.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
70.6
Very active
Markets / Day
3.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.5m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
34.2

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — normal for humanCV 2.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock71 trades/day — mass trading3.8 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.85
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.2%
Mid (20-55c)30.1%
High (>55c)53.6%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 10:09:40 PM42 trades$19,4431 min
6/14/2026, 9:16:06 PM89 trades$11,67326 min
6/7/2026, 8:41:24 PM98 trades$11,1815 min
7/20/2026, 5:14:10 PM65 trades$9,4226 min
6/13/2026, 9:06:04 PM25 trades$6,51411 min
6/7/2026, 6:27:48 PM296 trades$5,24060 min
6/17/2026, 2:29:28 PM94 trades$4,77221 min
5/20/2026, 2:15:24 PM93 trades$4,42942 min
6/30/2026, 10:03:11 AM44 trades$4,1550 min
6/3/2026, 1:12:39 PM75 trades$3,88919 min
5/22/2026, 10:16:34 PM24 trades$3,6671 min
6/8/2026, 10:26:51 AM14 trades$3,0713 min
7/30/2026, 8:00:06 AM6 trades$2,9980 min
7/17/2026, 8:53:43 PM6 trades$2,9950 min
7/21/2026, 5:56:46 PM1 trades$2,9940 min
6/9/2026, 4:51:22 PM39 trades$2,84210 min
6/8/2026, 11:12:00 AM48 trades$2,78722 min
5/9/2026, 3:55:40 PM10 trades$2,5491 min
6/14/2026, 12:39:33 PM44 trades$2,20421 min
6/17/2026, 4:00:50 PM13 trades$2,0979 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-19
05-12
05-29
06-13
06-26
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.2 / M30.1 / H53.6