CahoNiMa

@CahoNiMa

#2,816,35815

0x085147048445bbfcd5f5cbfca1ce999bd869e119

~72d· 165 markets · 493 tradesVol: $9,1582026-08-04 18:54:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (52/148)2.6/20
0.53x (win $219 / loss $413)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3010/15
Sortino -4.4360/10
$-0.2075 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 408 (148 markets)10/10
26/63 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 1751% of peak ($206 / $12)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,552,986$-168Vol: $4,192
💰 FINANCE#641,454$-191Vol: $2,997
SPORTS#1,436,474$-17Vol: $988
CRYPTO#1,210,501$-14Vol: $432
💻 TECH#80,053$0Vol: $250
🎭 CULTURE#69,822$9Vol: $177
📈 ECONOMICS#389,655$-0Vol: $63
📢 MENTIONS#99,359$-2Vol: $13
🌤️ WEATHER#174,452$-0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-388
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,158
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
165
total markets
Trades
276B / 217S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d

Periods

#2
Today
$-31
Vol: $55
Week
$-48
Vol: $629
Month
$-175
Vol: $2,527
All Time
$-388
Vol: $9,158

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
52W / 96L events
Realized PnL
$-388
Win Rate
35%
52W / 96L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $85 (0.2203416068940606% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$28
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$18
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds$10
Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 2.5$9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$8
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$8
US military action against Iran before July?$6

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$-52
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$-38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$-32
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5$-31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$-15
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-15
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.223
Sortino
-0.199
HHI
454
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.225
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.2%
Top-5 markets
32.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 477s — normal for humanCV 2.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.23
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.3%
Mid (20-55c)32.6%
High (>55c)30.1%

Sessions

#12
4/20/2026, 4:56:12 PM2 trades$1410 min
4/18/2026, 9:06:06 PM12 trades$13416 min
4/19/2026, 7:45:38 PM21 trades$10815 min
6/16/2026, 8:18:59 PM20 trades$8710 min
8/3/2026, 2:33:11 PM2 trades$800 min
8/3/2026, 4:13:21 PM3 trades$670 min
7/25/2026, 6:35:46 AM5 trades$640 min
6/20/2026, 6:33:11 PM4 trades$614 min
6/20/2026, 8:07:47 PM9 trades$606 min
6/16/2026, 8:00:23 PM14 trades$544 min
6/20/2026, 3:48:17 PM2 trades$490 min
6/17/2026, 10:54:05 PM10 trades$4512 min
6/17/2026, 10:41:31 PM14 trades$446 min
7/12/2026, 11:36:41 AM6 trades$440 min
6/21/2025, 6:03:28 PM2 trades$414 min
7/23/2026, 2:29:25 PM3 trades$390 min
6/14/2026, 9:45:03 PM7 trades$384 min
7/23/2026, 10:37:06 AM4 trades$340 min
6/20/2026, 9:46:16 PM9 trades$333 min
3/12/2026, 10:10:45 AM6 trades$317 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-25
12-27
03-02
03-15
04-21
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.23/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.3 / M32.6 / H30.1