jcarrington

@jcarrington

#260,76744

0x09609524aae274a6b78c5ee7d4dd11f3edd12d2c

~29d· 28 markets · 55 tradesVol: $19,4012026-09-20 18:18:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (5/24)0/20
1.80x (win $300 / loss $167)12.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.49615/15
Sortino 4.53110/10
$+0.0094 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 1294 (24 markets)6/10
5/23 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 72% of peak ($112 / $156)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+88

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,223,103$-7Vol: $10,236
SPORTS#127,211$95Vol: $9,150
🎭 CULTURE#379,593$-0Vol: $11
CRYPTO#695,652$0Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$88
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,401
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
34B / 21S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$88
Vol: $19,401

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
5W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$88
Win Rate
21%
5W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.8x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $279 (3.17771461057419% of PnL)

Top Winners

South Florida vs. San José State$144
Hawks vs. Spurs$102
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$34
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 3$11
Tigers vs. White Sox$9

Top Losers

Jets vs. Maple Leafs$-113
Dolphins vs. Patriots$-25
Buccaneers vs. Texans$-22
MLB All-Star Game$-2
Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$-1
Fulham wins the Premier League?$-1
Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-1
Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?$-1
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-0
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.128
Sortino
0.211
HHI
2
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.250
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
8.5h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
43
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 17160s — normal for humanCV 1.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.58
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.8%
Mid (20-55c)17.6%
High (>55c)70.6%

Sessions

#12
8/15/2026, 4:37:19 PM4 trades$3,4363 min
8/15/2026, 5:55:00 PM5 trades$3,4323 min
8/16/2026, 9:59:54 AM4 trades$3,4112 min
8/15/2026, 2:37:42 PM2 trades$1,7110 min
8/17/2026, 8:32:55 AM2 trades$1,7040 min
12/19/2024, 10:34:10 AM1 trades$1250 min
12/23/2024, 3:12:50 AM1 trades$1130 min
12/24/2024, 12:21:26 AM1 trades$1040 min
12/13/2024, 12:01:41 PM1 trades$530 min
10/6/2024, 1:57:59 PM1 trades$250 min
9/15/2025, 7:15:46 AM1 trades$220 min
10/4/2024, 8:51:03 AM1 trades$160 min
8/13/2025, 1:21:53 PM1 trades$120 min
5/8/2025, 8:03:03 AM1 trades$60 min
5/8/2025, 12:29:33 PM1 trades$60 min
5/12/2025, 6:16:20 AM1 trades$50 min
5/12/2025, 12:06:48 PM1 trades$50 min
5/14/2025, 4:07:38 AM1 trades$50 min
5/14/2025, 8:01:26 AM1 trades$50 min
4/30/2025, 10:32:57 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-04
12-16
12-24
04-02
04-17
05-07
05-14
08-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.8 / M17.6 / H70.6