ilusha7

@ilusha7

#2,367,18216

0x0a5355ff8e8e08aac15467ad90456e302549bdd3

~30d· 143 markets · 249 tradesVol: $5,2672026-08-23 19:33:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (52/137)4/20
0.75x (win $397 / loss $533)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7150/15
Sortino -4.0770/10
$-0.0876 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 228 (137 markets)10/10
10/27 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 1422% of peak ($170 / $12)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,439,249$-65Vol: $3,055
🌤️ WEATHER#22,096$11Vol: $604
📢 MENTIONS#21,239$8Vol: $588
🎭 CULTURE#759,748$-40Vol: $306
🏛️ POLITICS#1,126,363$-4Vol: $233
⚽ SPORTS#751,376$-0Vol: $14
💰 FINANCE#330,213$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-49
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,267
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
143
total markets
Trades
171B / 78S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$34
Vol: $123
Week
$69
Vol: $123
Month
$91
Vol: $1,294
All Time
$-49
Vol: $5,267

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
52W / 85L events
Realized PnL
$-114
Win Rate
38%
52W / 85L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $168 (1.4694876726700472% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$85
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$44
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$39
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$13
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D$12
Will Trump say "Please" 7+ times during the announcement on Thursday?$12
Solana Up or Down - January 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?$10

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$-118
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$-31
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$-28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7PM ET$-19
Solana Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-17
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$-13

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.191
Sortino
-0.195
HHI
258
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.088
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
28.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 334s — normal for humanCV 1.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.73
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.9%
Mid (20-55c)41.5%
High (>55c)48.5%

Sessions

#12
2/22/2026, 2:57:20 PM2 trades$1182 min
2/22/2026, 2:34:52 PM1 trades$1160 min
2/22/2026, 1:52:36 PM3 trades$792 min
7/3/2025, 4:07:05 PM2 trades$721 min
2/5/2026, 3:58:57 PM2 trades$661 min
7/2/2025, 8:28:11 PM1 trades$630 min
12/22/2025, 6:11:33 PM7 trades$6314 min
7/3/2025, 7:52:55 AM1 trades$590 min
7/3/2025, 6:18:01 PM3 trades$590 min
7/3/2025, 8:11:35 AM1 trades$580 min
2/5/2026, 9:28:33 PM3 trades$526 min
7/3/2025, 3:57:55 PM1 trades$400 min
8/10/2025, 11:17:26 PM2 trades$384 min
1/19/2026, 11:00:18 PM2 trades$360 min
8/16/2026, 6:02:58 PM4 trades$351 min
12/22/2025, 4:28:29 PM2 trades$352 min
8/23/2025, 4:06:57 PM2 trades$342 min
2/5/2026, 8:58:47 PM4 trades$324 min
2/20/2026, 12:54:24 AM1 trades$310 min
2/6/2026, 10:50:43 AM2 trades$312 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
07-18
10-14
12-23
02-06
02-20
08-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 190 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.9 / M41.5 / H48.5