Escogriffe

@Escogriffe

#3,026,55216

0x0aabef0d2ef436108005a960a61a1700624194e2

~69d· 1344 markets · 8685 tradesVol: $208,5932026-08-26 09:16:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (525/1342)4.6/20
0.93x (win $5,919 / loss $6,392)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7000/15
Sortino -1.9550/10
$-0.0162 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 27 (1342 markets)10/10
20/69 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 322% of peak ($831 / $258)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,665,886$-1,701Vol: $206,027
💰 FINANCE#647,373$-190Vol: $1,460
📈 ECONOMICS#610,408$-11Vol: $1,106

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,901
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$208,593
Total Redeem
$15,333
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1344
total markets
Trades
4825B / 3860S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~69d

Periods

#2
Month
$-436
Vol: $31,222
All Time
$-1,901
Vol: $208,593

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
525W / 817L events
Realized PnL
$-1,757
Win Rate
39%
525W / 817L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $583 (0.3318345323741007% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$234
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$227
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$122
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$115
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$107
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$91
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$88
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$77

Top Losers

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?$-390
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$-247
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$-152
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$-127
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$-122
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$-102
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$-95
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$-92
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$-85

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.088
Sortino
-0.082
HHI
22
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
4.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
79.0
Very active
Markets / Day
12.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.0m
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
31 min
Avg Trades / Session
72.8

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock79 trades/day — mass trading12 markets/day — mass coverage56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.46
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)31.7%
High (>55c)67.3%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 9:40:42 PM295 trades$2,89136 min
6/16/2026, 4:43:30 AM237 trades$1,011150 min
6/16/2026, 7:58:24 AM237 trades$983152 min
5/3/2026, 7:16:28 PM60 trades$9317 min
5/2/2026, 10:49:38 PM91 trades$82645 min
6/16/2026, 2:40:15 AM172 trades$821109 min
6/20/2026, 2:59:40 AM86 trades$80260 min
5/3/2026, 4:01:30 PM89 trades$74028 min
6/12/2026, 12:51:01 PM6 trades$7250 min
6/15/2026, 4:44:51 AM106 trades$62235 min
5/3/2026, 5:45:14 PM64 trades$6028 min
5/3/2026, 3:37:00 PM57 trades$60116 min
6/10/2026, 12:31:33 PM5 trades$5974 min
6/10/2026, 11:56:42 AM8 trades$5762 min
5/3/2026, 3:24:32 PM44 trades$5616 min
6/20/2026, 4:34:35 AM46 trades$53640 min
6/16/2026, 1:33:00 AM92 trades$53362 min
5/3/2026, 6:43:14 PM50 trades$5165 min
6/17/2026, 1:36:11 AM83 trades$49933 min
6/17/2026, 2:28:30 AM82 trades$47011 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
05-13
06-16
07-03
07-15
07-26
08-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M31.7 / H67.3